Who will Trump pardon this year? Odds & Predictions 2027
Who will Trump pardon this year?
Who will Trump pardon this year?
Chance
Nicole Daedone
27%
Nicole Daedone
27%
Charlie Javice
26%
▼ 8
Charlie Javice
26%
▼ 8
Rachel Cherwitz
21%
Rachel Cherwitz
21%
More markets
Market Rules
Nicole Daedone
Resolves Yes ifNicole Daedone has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 1, 2027.Outcome verified from White House and New York Times.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 18, 2026 · 8:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout5 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if a pardon is granted. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesKXTRUMPPARDON
EventKXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01
MarketKXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-NDAE
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.