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Elections

PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil

Elections

2028

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
5.90x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
6.29x
$164,179,057 vol46 markets
Senate

Michigan Democratic Senate nominee?

Abdul El-Sayed
Abdul El-Sayed
Abdul El-Sayed
1.19x
Haley Stevens
Haley Stevens
Haley Stevens
5.90x
$4,519,236 vol9 markets
Senate

Texas Senate winner?

Ken Paxton
Ken Paxton
Ken Paxton
1.76x
James Talarico
James Talarico
James Talarico
2.05x
$6,695,429 vol2 markets
Primaries

Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee?

Francesca Hong
Francesca Hong
Francesca Hong
1.08x
David Crowley
David Crowley
David Crowley
23.4x
$2,436,828 vol11 markets
US FED

July 2026 Fed Combo: Rate and Dissents

Rate: No change, Dissents: >0
1.57x
Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: >0
3.96x
$285,806 vol6 markets
Mayor

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Karen Bass
Karen Bass
Karen Bass
1.55x
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
2.52x
$87,399,653 vol2 markets
House

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.18x
Republican Party
Republican Party
Republican Party
5.56x
$19,210,501 vol2 markets
2028

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
5.25x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
5.25x
$55,118,541 vol30 markets
2028

2028 Republican presidential nominee

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
2.40x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
3.18x
$54,464,314 vol38 markets
Primaries

Michigan Republican Governor nominee?

John James
John James
John James
1.05x
Perry Johnson
Perry Johnson
Perry Johnson
31.2x
$771,559 vol15 markets
Primaries

MO-01 Democratic nominee?

Wesley Bell
Wesley Bell
Wesley Bell
1.57x
Cori Bush
Cori Bush
Cori Bush
2.34x
$512,264 vol2 markets
Politics

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes
5.25x
No
1.19x
$1,258,677 vol1 market
Primaries

South Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?

Darline Graham
1.34x
Ralph Norman
4.73x
$2,569,258 vol11 markets
Governor

Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent

At least 15%
2.05x
At least 10%
1.29x
$1,492,329 vol7 markets
Primaries

Tennessee Republican Governor nominee?

Marsha Blackburn
Marsha Blackburn
Marsha Blackburn
1.04x
Monty Fritts
Monty Fritts
Monty Fritts
46.8x
$229,024 vol3 markets
Senate

Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

D-House, D-Senate
D-House, D-Senate
D-House, D-Senate
2.19x
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
2.46x
$8,566,328 vol4 markets
House

TX-15 House winner?

Bobby Pulido
Bobby Pulido
Bobby Pulido
1.70x
Monica De La Cruz
Monica De La Cruz
Monica De La Cruz
2.05x
$80,412 vol2 markets
Senate

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

50
5.90x
49
7.25x
$297,422 vol15 markets
Governer

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds
Byron Donalds
1.04x
James Fishback
James Fishback
James Fishback
46.8x
$12,496,251 vol9 markets
Elections

Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?

New Hampshire
1.46x
South Carolina
4.13x
$35,314 vol4 markets
Senate

Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?

Abdul El-Sayed, ≥15%
3.96x
Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%
5.25x
$222,583 vol13 markets
Governor

New York Governor winner?

Kathy Hochul
Kathy Hochul
Kathy Hochul
1.07x
Bruce Blakeman
Bruce Blakeman
Bruce Blakeman
13.4x
$477,745 vol2 markets
International elections

Next German federal election winner?

AfD
1.97x
CDU/CSU
3.40x
$25,547 vol7 markets
US Elections

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

Abdul El-Sayed
Abdul El-Sayed
Abdul El-Sayed
1.60x
Mike Rogers
Mike Rogers
Mike Rogers
2.98x
$295,040 vol4 markets