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US Elections
Midterms
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Referendums
US Elections

Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep
Democrats sweep
Democrats sweep
1.57x
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
3.18x
$39,924,012 vol4 markets
House

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

234-237
5.25x
230-233
5.90x
$2,971,469 vol12 markets
House

Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%
3.52x
Democrats, 6 to 8%
4.13x
$2,588,574 vol10 markets
House

MN-05 House winner?

Ilhan Omar
Ilhan Omar
Ilhan Omar
1.07x
John Nagel
John Nagel
John Nagel
15.6x
$215,660 vol3 markets
House

How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Below 193
3.40x
198-202
5.25x
$4,152,997 vol11 markets
House

FL-25 House winner?

Jared Moskowitz
Jared Moskowitz
Jared Moskowitz
1.23x
Scott Singer
Scott Singer
Scott Singer
4.31x
$308,136 vol2 markets
Senate

Blue wave this year?

Yes
1.23x
No
4.51x
$1,458,613 vol1 market
House

KY-06 House winner?

Ralph Alvarado
Ralph Alvarado
Ralph Alvarado
1.40x
Zach Dembo
Zach Dembo
Zach Dembo
3.08x
$118,663 vol2 markets
House

VA-05 House winner?

John McGuire
John McGuire
John McGuire
1.31x
Tom Perriello
Tom Perriello
Tom Perriello
3.66x
$208,227 vol2 markets
House

AZ-01 House winner?

Amish Shah
Amish Shah
Amish Shah
1.23x
Jay Feely
Jay Feely
Jay Feely
4.98x
$141,136 vol2 markets
House

TX-23 House winner?

Brandon Herrera
Brandon Herrera
Brandon Herrera
1.38x
Katy Padilla Stout
Katy Padilla Stout
Katy Padilla Stout
3.18x
$224,496 vol2 markets
House

MD-01 House winner?

Andy Harris
Andy Harris
Andy Harris
1.15x
Dan Schwartz
Dan Schwartz
Dan Schwartz
7.25x
$48,602 vol2 markets
House

OH-15 House winner?

Mike Carey
Mike Carey
Mike Carey
1.31x
Don Leonard
Don Leonard
Don Leonard
3.66x
$29,872 vol2 markets
House

CA-34 House winner?

Angela Gonzales-Torres
Angela Gonzales-Torres
Angela Gonzales-Torres
1.28x
Jimmy Gomez
Jimmy Gomez
Jimmy Gomez
3.66x
$68,774 vol2 markets
House

NY-17 House winner?

Cait Conley
Cait Conley
Cait Conley
1.62x
Mike Lawler
Mike Lawler
Mike Lawler
2.24x
$295,581 vol2 markets
House

NM-02 House winner?

Gabe Vasquez
Gabe Vasquez
Gabe Vasquez
1.09x
Greg Cunningham
Greg Cunningham
Greg Cunningham
10.4x
$62,268 vol2 markets
Senate

Blue tsunami this year?

Yes
2.05x
No
1.79x
$683,418 vol1 market
House

TX-28 House winner?

Henry Cuellar
Henry Cuellar
Henry Cuellar
1.08x
Tano Tijerina
Tano Tijerina
Tano Tijerina
10.4x
$230,673 vol2 markets
House

CA-14 House winner?

Aisha Wahab
Aisha Wahab
Aisha Wahab
1.10x
Melissa Hernandez
Melissa Hernandez
Melissa Hernandez
9.41x
$63,443 vol2 markets
House

AL-02 House winner?

Rhett Marques
Rhett Marques
Rhett Marques
1.36x
Shomari Figures
Shomari Figures
Shomari Figures
3.29x
$197,537 vol2 markets
House

MT-01 House winner?

Aaron Flint
Aaron Flint
Aaron Flint
1.36x
Sam Forstag
Sam Forstag
Sam Forstag
3.29x
$447,673 vol2 markets
House

How many House seats will Democrats win in California?

48
1.29x
47
5.90x
$26,608 vol8 markets
House

NY-04 House winner?

Laura Gillen
Laura Gillen
Laura Gillen
1.08x
Jeanine Driscoll
Jeanine Driscoll
Jeanine Driscoll
13.4x
$82,579 vol2 markets
House

KY-04 House winner?

Ed Gallrein
Ed Gallrein
Ed Gallrein
1.04x
Melissa Claire Strange
Melissa Claire Strange
Melissa Claire Strange
15.6x
$47,070 vol2 markets