How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

Begins in 135 days · Nov 3, 7:00am EST

Chance

Below 193

23%

▼ 1

Below 193

▼ 1

193-197

▼ 1

193-197

▼ 1

198-202

198-202

8 more

Below 193

Resolves Yes if the Republican Party has below 193 House seats on Feb 1, 2027.Outcome verified from United States Congress.

Individuals caucusing with the Republicans will be included

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Market openSep 13, 2025 · 10:00am EDT

Market closesFeb 1, 2027 · 10:00am EST

Projected payoutFeb 1, 2027 · 10:05am EST

SeriesKXRHOUSESEATS

EventKXRHOUSESEATS-27

MarketKXRHOUSESEATS-27-193

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Holders of federal and statewide public office.
Paid campaign staffers on House and Senate campaigns.
Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Congressional campaigns.
Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
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Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
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All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
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Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event