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Economics

MentionsFinanceTech & Science
All markets
Fed
GDP
Global Central Banks
Growth
Housing
Inflation
Jobs & Economy
Oil and energy
Hub

Economics

US FED

Fed decision in July?

Fed maintains rate
1.20x
Hike 25bps
5.25x
$6,148,071 vol5 markets
Growth

Elon Musk net worth on June 30 (Bloomberg)

Above $1.00 trillion
1.40x
Above $1.05 trillion
3.66x
$564,638 vol24 markets
US FED

Fed funds rate after July meeting?

Above 3.75%
5.25x
Above 3.50%
1.01x
$289,679 vol11 markets
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 0 cuts
1.26x
Exactly 1 cut
5.56x
$5,263,208 vol21 markets
Growth

Recession this year?

Yes
8.56x
No
1.10x
$2,684,859 vol1 market
Jobs & Economy

Jobs numbers in June 2026?

Above 125,000
2.19x
Above 70,000
1.44x
$217,753 vol15 markets
Fed

Next Fed rate hike?

Before 2027
2.01x
Before July 2027
1.48x
$3,084,374 vol4 markets
Fed

Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?

Yes
9.41x
No
1.10x
$407,294 vol1 market
Inflation

Inflation in June 2026 (CPI YoY)

Above 3.7%
1.40x
Above 3.8%
2.98x
$721,577 vol21 markets
Oil and energy

US gas prices this week

Above 3.840
1.93x
Above 3.820
1.67x
$18,960 vol15 markets
Inflation

CPI in June

Above -0.2%
2.52x
Above -0.1%
4.98x
$448,825 vol9 markets
Jobs & Economy

Unemployment in June

Above 4.3%
2.81x
Above 4.2%
1.28x
$80,351 vol10 markets
Inflation

CPI year-over-year in June?

Exactly 3.8%
2.14x
Exactly 3.7%
3.08x
$1,232,408 vol26 markets
Fed

Number of emergency rate cuts this year?

0 cuts
1.10x
2 cuts
15.6x
$351,446 vol5 markets
Inflation

CPI month-over-month in June?

Exactly -0.2%
2.40x
Exactly -0.1%
3.52x
$653,921 vol10 markets
Growth

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

More than $1.4 trillion
2.29x
More than $1.5 trillion
3.40x
$1,232,943 vol9 markets
Fed

Fed rate cut before 2027?

Yes
3.96x
No
1.26x
$549,333 vol1 market
Global Central Banks

Bank of Korea rate decision in July

Hike 1-25bps
1.06x
Maintain current rate
15.6x
$24,599 vol5 markets
Inflation

CPI core year-over-year in June?

Exactly 2.8%
1.83x
Exactly 2.9%
3.08x
$745,219 vol16 markets
Jobs & Economy

TSA avg check-ins from Jun 29 to Sunday?

Above 2.65 million
1.97x
Above 2.6 million
1.31x
$1,723 vol21 markets
Fed

SOFR at end of Q2 2026

Above 3.75%
10.4x
Above 5.00%
93.5x
$62,675 vol3 markets
Inflation

How high will inflation get this year?

At least 4.5%
3.80x
At least 5.0%
7.85x
$689,505 vol6 markets
GDP

US GDP growth in Q2 2026?

Above 2.5%
2.19x
Above 2.0%
1.40x
$107,512 vol9 markets
Inflation

ISM Manufacturing PMI in June

At least 55
2.34x
At least 54
1.18x
$17,544 vol8 markets