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Trending
Frequency
Fed decision in March?
Fed maintains rate
1.07
x
93
%
Cut 25bps
13.4
x
6
%
$10,087,789 vol
5 markets
How much government spending will Trump cut in 2025?
At least 1 billion
31.2
x
3
%
At least 1 trillion
93.5
x
1
%
$10,843,609 vol
9 markets
How much will core PCE increase in April?
Above 0.2%
1.93
x
1
%
Above 0.3%
1.93
x
1
%
$164,670 vol
5 markets
US GDP growth in Q4 2025?
Above 3.0%
1.62
x
60
%
Above 3.5%
2.52
x
37
%
$2,872,670 vol
16 markets
GDP growth in 2025?
2.1 to 2.5
1.05
x
94
%
2.6 to 3.0
23.4
x
4
%
$2,417,445 vol
12 markets
US gas prices this week
Above $2.929
2.05
x
47
%
Above $2.959
4.98
x
16
%
$85,906 vol
5 markets
Gas prices in the US this month?
Above 2.95
2.52
x
35
%
Above 3.00
4.51
x
16
%
$284,830 vol
8 markets
Fed funds rate after March meeting?
Above 3.50%
1.06
x
91
%
Above 3.25%
1.02
x
97
%
$217,807 vol
11 markets
Jobs numbers this month?
Above 60,000
1.86
x
55
%
Above 70,000
2.24
x
44
%
$64,445 vol
13 markets
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
D-House, R-Senate
2.05
x
47
%
D-House, D-Senate
2.46
x
39
%
$893,796 vol
4 markets
Texas Senate matchup?
Talarico vs. Paxton
1.44
x
68
%
Crockett vs. Paxton
4.31
x
21
%
$138,787 vol
6 markets
Initial jobless claims for the week ending Feb 14, 2026
At least 225000
1.83
x
53
%
At least 230000
2.98
x
32
%
$15,309 vol
10 markets
Inflation in February? (CPI YoY)
Above 2.4%
2.19
x
43
%
Above 2.3%
1.22
x
82
%
$49,602 vol
10 markets
CPI in February?
Above 0.2%
1.79
x
56
%
Above 0.3%
6.74
x
13
%
$26,043 vol
6 markets
When will the next US recession start?
Q1 2026
10.4
x
9
%
Q4 2025
13.4
x
5
%
$405,061 vol
6 markets
Recession this year?
Yes
4.13
x
23
%
No
1.25
x
77
%
$377,779 vol
1 market
Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year?
Yes
3.08
x
29
%
No
1.40
x
71
%
$124,329 vol
1 market
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
Exactly 2 cuts
3.80
x
25
%
Exactly 3 cuts
3.80
x
24
%
$1,145,045 vol
21 markets
US Nominal GDP in 2026
Above $30.2 trillion
1.76
x
60
%
Above $30.8 trillion
1.97
x
33
%
$5,827 vol
21 markets
Blue tsunami this year?
Yes
2.66
x
34
%
No
1.48
x
66
%
$71,896 vol
1 market
How much will the government increase spending in 2025?
At least $500 billion
5.25
x
17
%
At least $1 trillion
23.4
x
4
%
$581,559 vol
2 markets
Unemployment in February
Above 4.3%
1.97
x
48
%
Above 4.2%
1.22
x
77
%
$25,484 vol
10 markets
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
Above 5%
2.59
x
37
%
Above 6%
4.73
x
20
%
$268,110 vol
10 markets
France Nominal GDP
Above $3.4 trillion
2.09
x
48
%
Above $3.3 trillion
1.60
x
55
%
$4,225 vol
14 markets