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Economics odds and guides

Fed rate odds for every FOMC meeting

Bank of Canada decision next month?

Hike 25bps
1.86x
Maintains rate
2.01x
$153,817 vol

Bank of England rate decision in December

Hike 1-25bps
1.40x
Maintain current rate
3.29x
$41,035 vol

New Zealand rate decision in December

Hike 1-25bps
1.15x
Maintain current rate
5.56x
$11,512 vol

Bank of Israel rate decision in November

Maintain current rate
1.04x
Cut 1-25bps
13.4x
$33,651 vol

Bank of Mexico rate decision in December

Maintain current rate
1.06x
Cut 25bps
9.41x
$15,575 vol

Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026

Exactly 2.50%
1.67x
Exactly 2.75%
1.90x
$32,737 vol

Chile rate decision in December

Maintain current rate
1.57x
Hike 1-25bps
2.59x
$22,441 vol

Bank of Japan rate decision in December

Hike 25bps
1.10x
Maintain current rate
9.41x
$34,295 vol

European Central Bank rate decision in December

Hike 1-25bps
1.03x
Maintain current rate
15.6x
$13,032 vol

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

Hike 1-25bps
1.15x
Maintain current rate
5.56x
$19,389 vol

Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 5 cuts
1.13x
Exactly 6 cuts
7.85x
$263,814 vol

South Africa rate decision in November

Maintain current rate
1.09x
Hike 1-25bps
5.90x
$77,461 vol

Czech National Bank rate decision in December

Maintain current rate
1.02x
Hike 1-25bps
23.4x
$5,149 vol

Which central banks will hike before 2027?

Yes
9.41x
No
1.02x
$94,268 vol

Number of Bank of Canada rate cuts this year?

Exactly 0ㅤ
1.05x
Exactly 1ㅤ
18.8x
$32,215 vol

Turkey rate decision in December

Cut 1-250bps
1.33x
Maintain current rate
2.98x
$7,074 vol

Bank of Thailand rate decision in December

Maintain current rate
1.12x
Hike 1-25bps
7.85x
$3,644 vol

Taiwan rate decision in December

Maintain current rate
1.31x
Hike 1-12.5bps
3.40x
$56 vol

Swiss National Bank rate decision in December

Maintain current rate
1.13x
Hike 1-25bps
6.29x
$32,725 vol

Sweden rate decision in December

Maintain current rate
1.10x
Hike more than 25bps
46.8x
$2,480 vol

Poland rate decision in December

Maintain current rate
1.14x
Hike 1-25bps
5.25x
$2,074 vol

Philippines rate decision in December

Hike 1-25bps
1.79x
Maintain current rate
2.52x
$770 vol

Norway rate decision in December

Maintain current rate
1.15x
Hike 1-25bps
4.51x
$400 vol

Bank Indonesia rate decision in November

Maintain current rate
1.52x
Hike 1-25bps
2.59x
$4,790 vol