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Economics odds and guides

Fed rate odds for every FOMC meeting

30-year mortgage rate this week

Above 7.27%
1.97x
Above 7.26%
1.65x
$15,398 vol

Bozeman-area housing units authorized this year

Above 1,550 units
1.52x
Above 1,700 units
3.18x
$91,173 vol

Housing units authorized in Vermont this year

Above 1,700 units
1.97x
Above 1,600 units
1.36x
$213,021 vol

US existing home sales for November

Above 3.70M
2.52x
Above 3.60M
1.38x
$13,874 vol

Chicago, IL home values in November

Above $333,750
2.52x
Above $334,000
3.18x
$395 vol

Will Illinois home prices increase YoY this quarter?

Yes
1.10x
No
8.56x
$15,396 vol

Colorado permitted housing units this year

Above 30,000
1.40x
Above 32,000
3.29x
$170,693 vol

How high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2026?

Above 7.4%
1.44x
Above 7.5%
1.86x
$155,995 vol

US housing starts for October

Above 1.250M
1.65x
Above 1.300M
2.59x
$4,925 vol

NYC median asking rent in December 2026

Above $4,000
1.79x
Above $4,100
6.74x
$422,080 vol

US building permits for October

Above 1.400M
2.29x
Above 1.450M
3.80x
$26,395 vol

Connecticut multifamily housing permits this year

Above 3,500 units
3.40x
Above 3,000 units
1.23x
$165,851 vol

Dallas, TX home values in November

Above $316,000
1.60x
Above $318,000
1.57x
$106 vol

Toronto condo price below C$600K this year?

Yes
6.29x
No
1.12x
$22,459 vol

Vancouver condo price below C$650K this year?

Yes
5.56x
No
1.15x
$3,019 vol

Venice, CA home values in November

Above $2.05 million
1.86x
Above $2,055,000
2.01x
$0 vol

Will Utah’s House Price Index exceed 722.63 this quarter?

Yes
1.46x
No
2.81x
$14,588 vol

US active housing listings in November

Above 1,175,000 listings
1.83x
Above 1,150,000 listings
1.08x
$10 vol

US new home · Median sales price in October

Above $395,000
1.97x
Above $400,000
2.14x
$2,247 vol

Seattle, WA home values in November

Above $882,500
1.55x
Above $890,000
2.59x
$724 vol

San Diego, CA home values in November

Above $1,122,500
1.79x
Above $1.12 million
1.60x
$0 vol

Santa Monica, CA home values in November

Above $2.67 million
1.90x
Above $2,655,000
1.48x
$0 vol

Will Rhode Island home prices rise YoY?

Yes
1.23x
No
4.51x
$14,952 vol

Phoenix, AZ home values in November

Above $412,000
1.67x
Above $414,000
1.62x
$0 vol