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Growth
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Frequency
All markets
Econ Daily
Econ Weekly
Fed
GDP
Global Central Banks
Growth
Housing
Inflation
Jobs & Economy
Oil and energy
Hub
Growth
Recession this year?
Yes
13.4
x
7
%
No
1.06
x
93
%
$3,183,677 vol
1 market
Growth
How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?
More than $1.4 trillion
6.74
x
13
%
More than $1.5 trillion
8.56
x
11
%
$1,335,261 vol
9 markets
Growth
Will there be a Trump economic boom?
Yes
2.19
x
28
%
No
1.70
x
72
%
$175,110 vol
1 market
Growth
Elon Musk net worth on August 31 (Bloomberg)
Above $650 billion
1.25
x
74
%
Above $700 billion
1.25
x
51
%
$1,703 vol
12 markets
Growth
Recession next year?
Yes
2.40
x
39
%
No
1.55
x
61
%
$90,410 vol
1 market
Growth
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
At least 250 billion
13.4
x
4
%
At least 500 billion
23.4
x
4
%
$240,952 vol
6 markets
Growth
US effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
Above 6%
1.02
x
73
%
Above 12%
9.41
x
5
%
$2,233 vol
11 markets
Growth
Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026
At least $3.0 billion
1.57
x
5
%
At least $3.5 billion
1.57
x
23
%
$22,733 vol
11 markets
Growth
US credit rating downgrade this year?
Yes
6.74
x
14
%
No
1.13
x
86
%
$73,441 vol
1 market
Growth
Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration
$50 trillion
2.34
x
32
%
$47.5 trillion
1.40
x
70
%
$78,196 vol
6 markets
Growth
Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?
Yes
6.29
x
11
%
No
1.12
x
89
%
$163,011 vol
1 market
Growth
China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
Yes
4.73
x
20
%
No
1.22
x
80
%
$127,484 vol
1 market
Growth
Who will be the three wealthiest people in the world?
Sergey Brin
1.93
x
50
%
Jeff Bezos
1.67
x
50
%
$40,289 vol
9 markets
Growth
U.S. imports from Iran >$5M this year?
Yes
4.98
x
14
%
No
1.15
x
86
%
$12,136 vol
1 market
Growth
Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year?
Yes
1.12
x
89
%
No
5.25
x
11
%
$12,951 vol
1 market
Growth
Will Trump bring back manufacturing?
Yes
5.25
x
18
%
No
1.15
x
82
%
$24,472 vol
1 market
Growth
When will the next US recession start?
Q3 2025
46.8
x
1
%
Q2 2025
31.2
x
2
%
$514,865 vol
6 markets
Growth
Which countries will have a recession before 2027?
United Kingdom
5.56
x
13
%
Japan
4.31
x
13
%
$194,870 vol
4 markets
Growth
USD share of global FX reserves in Q2 2026
Above 57.0%
1.83
x
47
%
Above 56.5%
1.19
x
84
%
$32 vol
7 markets
Growth
USD share of Swift international payments in December 2026
Above 58.5%
1.70
x
53
%
Above 59.0%
2.98
x
31
%
$0 vol
7 markets
Growth
Americas data center capacity at the end of 2026
Above 62.5 GW
2.01
x
44
%
Above 60.0 GW
1.55
x
63
%
$72 vol
9 markets
Growth
US trade deficit for 2026?
Above 170 billion
1.13
x
82
%
75 billion to 84.9 billion
93.5
x
1
%
$13,427 vol
12 markets
Growth
Tech layoffs up in July?
Yes
4.73
x
19
%
No
1.22
x
81
%
$0 vol
1 market
Growth
US tariff revenue for 2026
Above $200 billion
1.57
x
62
%
Above $250 billion
2.81
x
33
%
$8,445 vol
6 markets