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Economics

MentionsCompaniesFinancialsTech & Science
All markets
Employment
Fed
Growth
Housing
Inflation
Jobs & Economy
Oil and energy

Growth

Growth

Recession this year?

Yes
3.52x
No
1.33x
$567,161 vol1 market
Growth

US GDP growth in Q1 2026?

Above 2.0%
1.83x
Above 2.5%
2.14x
$219,689 vol8 markets
Growth

When will Elon Musk become a trillionaire?

Before 2027
1.31x
Before 2028
1.14x
$356,626 vol4 markets
Growth

GDP growth in 2026?

2.1 to 2.5
3.66x
1.6 to 2.0
4.13x
$76,268 vol14 markets
Growth

How much will US debt increase in 2025?

More than 130% of GDP
18.8x
More than 150% of GDP
93.5x
$390,891 vol3 markets
Growth

How rich will Elon Musk get before 2027?

More than $1.2 trillion
1.93x
More than $1.3 trillion
2.40x
$93,649 vol6 markets
Growth

US tariff revenue for 2026

Above $200‎ billion
1.57x
Above $250‎ billion
2.29x
$4,881 vol6 markets
Growth

Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration

$50 trillion
1.83x
$45 trillion
1.13x
$63,706 vol3 markets
Growth

Who will be the world's first trillionaire?

Elon Musk
Elon Musk
1.10x
Jeff Bezos
Jeff Bezos
23.4x
$151,635 vol11 markets
Growth

Will there be a Trump economic boom?

Yes
1.65x
No
2.14x
$147,986 vol1 market
Growth

Tech layoffs up in January 2026?

Yes
1.86x
No
1.93x
$6,687 vol1 market
Politics

US credit rating downgrade this year?

Yes
2.89x
No
1.40x
$28,054 vol1 market
Growth

When will the next US recession start?

Q1 2026
7.25x
Q4 2025
13.4x
$445,423 vol6 markets
Growth

How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?

At least 250 billion
10.4x
At least 500 billion
10.4x
$154,310 vol5 markets
Growth

Which countries will have a recession before 2027?

Japan
Japan
2.19x
United Kingdom
United Kingdom
2.66x
$123,714 vol4 markets
Growth

Will Trump reduce inequality in the US?

Yes
5.25x
No
1.13x
$11,915 vol1 market
Growth

US Nominal GDP in 2026

Above $32.0 trillion
1.70x
Above $32.2 trillion
2.59x
$18,606 vol21 markets
Growth

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?

At least 3
3.29x
At least 8
4.51x
$55,379 vol4 markets
Growth

Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year?

Yes
1.34x
No
2.98x
$6,731 vol1 market
Growth

US trade deficit for 2026?

Above 170‎ billion
1.03x
45‎ billion to 54.9‎ billion
46.8x
$6,641 vol11 markets
Growth

Government spending increase this year

At least $500 billion
2.01x
At least $400 billion
1.48x
$700 vol9 markets
Growth

China overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?

Yes
4.13x
No
1.26x
$77,883 vol1 market
Growth

Will a NYSE marketwide circuitbreaker happen this year?

Yes
3.52x
No
1.29x
$91,735 vol1 market
Growth

How many companies will go bankrupt this year?

Above 750
2.14x
Above 800
2.81x
$128 vol6 markets