How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
Begins in 281 days · Mar 31, 10:30am EDT
Chance
At least 50 billion
9.4%
At least 50 billion
9.4%
At least 250 billion
5.6%
▼ 1.1
At least 250 billion
5.6%
▼ 1.1
At least 500 billion
6.6%
At least 500 billion
6.6%
3 more
Market Rules
At least 50 billion
Resolves Yes if government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2026.Outcome verified from FRED.
Each quarter from Q1 2025 to Q4 2026 is compared against Q4 2024.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 6, 2026 · 5:30pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXGOVTCUTS
EventKXGOVTCUTS-26
MarketKXGOVTCUTS-26-BILLIONB
Insider trading is prohibited
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