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Reminder: Weekly scheduled exchange maintenance will occur from 3-5 AM ET. Trading will be paused during this time.
Trump
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Chance
Before Apr 1, 2027
44%
Yes
46¢
No
61¢
Before Apr 1, 2027
44%
Yes
46¢
No
61¢
Before Jul 1, 2027
51%
▲ 7
Yes
52¢
No
54¢
Before Jul 1, 2027
51%
▲ 7
Yes
52¢
No
54¢
Before Oct 1, 2027
49%
Yes
58¢
No
51¢
Before Oct 1, 2027
49%
Yes
58¢
No
51¢
11 more
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Dollars
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?
Before Nov 1, 2026
YES 5¢
NO 97¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
5% chance
Max payout
Nov 1, 2026
$0
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$1,373,815 vol
1D
1W
1M
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