When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Chance
Before Oct 1, 2026
47%
▲ 4
Before Oct 1, 2026
47%
▲ 4
Before Nov 1, 2026
56%
▼ 2
Before Nov 1, 2026
56%
▼ 2
Before Dec 1, 2026
62%
▲ 5
Before Dec 1, 2026
62%
▲ 5
12 more
Market Rules
Before Jun 15, 2026
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before June 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 15, 2026 · 5:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXHORMUZNORM
EventKXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17
MarketKXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.