When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Chance
Market Rules
Before May 15, 2026
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before May 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 17, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXHORMUZNORM
EventKXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17
MarketKXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260515