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TrendingElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinance

Tech & Science

All markets
AI
Big Tech & Business
Education
Energy
Medicine
Physics & Math
Public Health
Space

Tech & Science

Space

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029
4.13x
Before 2028
5.56x
$33,667,502 vol7 markets
AI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude
1.50x
ChatGPT
6.29x
$7,975,736 vol8 markets
SpaceX

How many launches will SpaceX have in August?

Above 13
1.50x
Above 14
6.29x
$110,232 vol9 markets
AI

Best AI this month?

Claude
1.05x
Gemini
23.4x
$41,305 vol7 markets
Google

When will Google release Gemini 3.5 Pro?

Before Aug 16, 2026
1.36x
Before Aug 21, 2026
1.15x
$172,681 vol4 markets
AI

Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by end of month?

Above $0.49
1.86x
Above $0.44
1.38x
$7,537 vol19 markets
Space

SpaceX Starship 14th launch?

Before Sep 1, 2026
2.52x
Before Sep 18, 2026
1.18x
$15,825 vol5 markets
AI

When will OpenAI release GPT-6?

Before Oct 1, 2026
1.93x
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.52x
$286,488 vol4 markets
Compute

DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) eTT · Average price in August 2026

Above $22.70
1.22x
Above $22.60
1.02x
$4,249 vol30 markets
Industries

NVIDIA H200 · Hourly price on Aug 07 (Week 32)

Above $5.00
2.46x
Above $4.50
1.40x
$39,693 vol9 markets
Industries

NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Hourly price on Aug 07 (Week 32)

Above $0.50
2.66x
Above $0.75
23.4x
$55,842 vol6 markets
AI

Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?

Yes
1.62x
No
1.76x
$83,880 vol1 market
AI

Top Math AI this month

Claude
1.13x
Gemini
9.41x
$5,883 vol7 markets
Space

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?

Yes
3.80x
No
1.29x
$266,090 vol1 market
Industries

NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Aug 07 (Week 32)

Above $2.75
2.98x
Above $2.50
1.26x
$13,927 vol9 markets
Physics & Math

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

Before 2035
1.52x
Before 2030
2.46x
$84,640 vol5 markets
AI

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Before Jan 1, 2027
5.25x
Before Dec 1, 2026
5.90x
$1,883,841 vol5 markets
Compute

DDR5 16Gb (2Gx8) 4800/5600 · Average price in August 2026

Above $51.75
1.04x
Above $53.75
1.03x
$1,023 vol30 markets
Energy

What will be the largest source of global primary energy consumption in 2030?

Oil
1.57x
Coal
6.74x
$135,109 vol10 markets
Public Health

Which countries will report an Ebola case this year?

South Sudan
1.70x
Burundi
3.08x
$339,148 vol16 markets
AI

When will xAI release Grok 5?

Before October
2.66x
Before 2027
1.42x
$68,854 vol3 markets
AI

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.06x
$76,141 vol1 market
Tech & Science

How many SpaceX Starship launches will reach space this year?

5
1.73x
4
3.66x
$31,478 vol10 markets
Industries

NVIDIA B200 · Hourly price on Aug 07 (Week 32)

Above $6.00
1.46x
Above $6.50
3.29x
$40,836 vol10 markets