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Tech & Science

Best AI this month?

Best AI this month?
Claude1.34x
Gemini3.80x
$1,081,110 vol7 markets

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes5.56x
No1.18x
$3,289,422 vol1 market

How many launches will SpaceX have in February 2026?

How many launches will SpaceX have in February 2026?
Above 121.52x
Above 1310.4x
$671,242 vol7 markets

What will be the top AI model this month?

What will be the top AI model this month?
claude-opus-4-6-thinking1.25x
claude-opus-4-615.6x
$2,071,794 vol13 markets

SpaceX Starship 12th launch?

SpaceX Starship 12th launch?
Before April2.01x
Before May1.13x
$336,387 vol4 markets

NASA lands on the moon?

NASA lands on the moon?
Before 20286.29x
Before 202715.6x
$172,207 vol2 markets

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 20302.14x
Before 20283.40x
$561,030 vol3 markets

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?

Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
Yes2.19x
No1.70x
$78,378 vol1 market

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
Yes3.40x
No1.34x
$213,518 vol1 market

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
xAI1.76x
OpenAI1.65x
$816,447 vol12 markets

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?

Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic2.34x
OpenAI2.66x
$189,920 vol9 markets

Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?

Will Anthropic release Claude 5 this year?
Yes1.05x
No15.6x
$36,286 vol1 market

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use before 2027?

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use before 2027?
Yes3.08x
No1.40x
$68,232 vol1 market

AI capability growth before July?

AI capability growth before July?
At least 1550 score1.60x
At least 1575 score2.29x
$60,100 vol9 markets

Measles cases this year?

Measles cases this year?
Above 80001.90x
Above 100002.89x
$386,852 vol11 markets

When will xAI release Grok 4.2?

When will xAI release Grok 4.2?
Yes--
No93.5x
$99,870 vol1 market

When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?

When will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
Before April1.20x
Before May1.09x
$32,152 vol5 markets

TSA avg check-ins from Feb 16 to 22, 2026?

TSA avg check-ins from Feb 16 to 22, 2026?
Above 2.45 million1.36x
Above 2.5 million3.29x
$979 vol21 markets

Who will win the Fields Medal this year?

Who will win the Fields Medal this year?
Yu Deng
Yu Deng2.05x
Jack Thorne
Jack Thorne2.09x
$12,200 vol10 markets

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August?

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August?
Antares Nuclear1.86x
Radiant Industries2.09x
$78,799 vol10 markets

Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?

Will Apple release a Macbook with cellular connectivity before 2027?
Yes2.98x
No1.33x
$20,969 vol1 market

Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?

Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
Yes7.25x
No1.12x
$23,784 vol1 market

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Tesla Optimus released this year?
Yes4.31x
No1.23x
$212,197 vol1 market

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
Yes2.01x
No1.79x
$23,010 vol1 market