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Measles cases this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
Science and Technology
Measles cases this year?
Science and Technology
Measles cases this year?
Chance
Above 3000
88%
▼ 1
Yes
88¢
No
13¢
Above 3000
88%
▼ 1
Yes
88¢
No
13¢
Above 4000
28%
▼ 6
Yes
30¢
No
72¢
Above 4000
28%
▼ 6
Yes
30¢
No
72¢
Above 6000
14%
▲ 1
Yes
14¢
No
87¢
Above 6000
14%
▲ 1
Yes
14¢
No
87¢
9 more
Market Rules
Above 3000
Resolves Yes if
the number of measles in 2026 is above 3000
.
Outcome verified from
CDC
.
Note: this event is directional.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
May 18, 2026 · 5:00pm EDT
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
1 hour after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59pm EST.
Series
KXMEASLES
Event
KXMEASLES-26
Market
KXMEASLES-26-3000
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Above 3000
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
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