Which countries will report an Ebola case this year?
Which countries will report an Ebola case this year?
Chance
Kenya
54%
▲ 6
Kenya
54%
▲ 6
Burundi
43%
▼ 5
Burundi
43%
▼ 5
Central African Republic
34%
Central African Republic
34%
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Market Rules
South Sudan
If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in South Sudan is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from the relevant national, international, or subnational health agencies for <geography>,, Bloomberg, CDC, the World Health Organization, New York Times, Reuters, and Associated Press.
Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not. Animal cases do not qualify. The case must be confirmed in South Sudan — a citizen of South Sudan diagnosed elsewhere does not count. Imported cases diagnosed within South Sudan do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed after Jan 1, 2027 do not qualify even if infection occurred earlier.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 16, 2026 · 5:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXEBOLACOUNTRY
EventKXEBOLACOUNTRY-27
MarketKXEBOLACOUNTRY-27-SUD
Insider trading is prohibited
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