When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
Chance
Before 2028
7%
▼ 41
Before 2028
7%
▼ 41
Before 2030
10%
▼ 39
Before 2030
10%
▼ 39
Before 2032
12%
▼ 37
Before 2032
12%
▼ 37
Before 2035
27%
▼ 22
Before 2035
27%
▼ 22
Market Rules
Before 2028
Resolves Yes if the Clay Mathematics Institute officially announces the award of a Millennium Prize for the Riemann hypothesis before Jan 1, 2028.Outcome verified from the Clay Mathematics Institute.
The Clay Mathematics Institute must officially announce that a Millennium Prize has been awarded for the complete solution of the specified problem. The solution must be a positive proof as originally stated, not a counterexample or disproof (unless the market specifically includes counterexamples). Announcements of submitted solutions, peer-reviewed publications without CMI verification, or partial solutions do not qualify. If a mathematician solves a problem but declines the monetary prize, the market still resolves to Yes if CMI officially announces the prize award. The Poincaré Conjecture has already been solved by Grigori Perelman.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 23, 2026 · 7:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXRIEMANN
EventKXRIEMANN-35
MarketKXRIEMANN-35-28JAN01
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