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Physics & Math

Nobel Physics winner?

Charles Kane
3.29x
Eugene Mele
4.73x
$4,783 vol24 markets
Physics & Math

Which nuclear power companies will achieve criticality before August?

Atomic Alchemy
1.79x
Oklo
4.73x
$265,117 vol8 markets
Physics & Math

Who will win the Fields Medal this year?

Yu Deng
Yu Deng
Yu Deng
1.76x
John Pardon
John Pardon
John Pardon
1.65x
$95,175 vol10 markets
Physics & Math

When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?

Before 2035
3.66x
Before 2030
11.7x
$65,116 vol4 markets
Physics & Math

Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026

Amitav Ghosh
6.29x
Mircea Cărtărescu
9.41x
$19 vol10 markets
Energy

Near room-temperature Meissner effect this year?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.01x
$2,219 vol1 market
Physics & Math

When will the first useful quantum computer be developed?

Before 2035
1.76x
Before 2030
2.59x
$34,101 vol4 markets
Physics & Math

Nobel Prize in Economics 2026

Luigi Zingales
7.25x
Partha Dasgupta
8.56x
$1 vol9 markets
Physics & Math

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

Before 2035
1.83x
Before 2030
3.08x
$76,749 vol5 markets
Physics & Math

When will nuclear fusion be achieved?

Before 2040
1.86x
Before 2035
1.97x
$45,014 vol3 markets