Near room-temperature Meissner effect this year? Odds & Predictions 2027
Near room-temperature Meissner effect this year?
Near room-temperature Meissner effect this year?
$1,179 vol
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
If a peer-reviewed paper published in an eligible journal reports the discovery of a material exhibiting the Meissner effect at ambient pressure with a critical temperature of at least 240 K before January 1, 2027, the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Kalshi.
Eligible journals are those in the first quartile (Q1) of SCImago's condensed matter physics ranking or any journal with an SJR above 1.0. The material need not be a previously researched substance.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 13, 2026 · 6:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout1 hour after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 11:59pm EST.
SeriesKXMEISSNER
EventKXMEISSNER-2701JAN
MarketKXMEISSNER-2701JAN
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
About
In superconductors, the 'Meissner effect' expels a magnetic field when entering a superconductive state, usually at extremely low temperatures in labs. Following the LK-99 controversy, the race to develop a room-temperature superconductor is intensifying. If achieved, it could revolutionize power transfer, quantum computing, medical equipment, and green technology. Is it a pipe dream, or will the 'Meissner effect' be confirmed at room temperature this year?