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AI
AI Indices
Big Tech & Business
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Tokens
AI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2028
2.05x
Before 2030
1.52x
$1,114,793 vol3 markets
Space

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

Yes
1.65x
No
2.29x
$64,239 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Where will Waymo operate this year?

Las Vegas, NV
1.29x
Tampa, FL
1.25x
$324,577 vol21 markets
Big Tech & Business

How many people will Neuralink have implanted this year?

At least 40
2.66x
At least 30
1.33x
$15,470 vol6 markets
Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Yes
5.25x
No
1.19x
$94,985 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?

Yes
1.83x
No
1.86x
$10,416 vol1 market
AI

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Yes
6.74x
No
1.10x
$174,709 vol1 market
Tesla

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.04x
$398,849 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?

Yes
1.60x
No
2.05x
$61,539 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

Yes
1.62x
No
2.29x
$95,134 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Clip-on device for clothing
10.4x
Glasses
11.7x
$153,270 vol10 markets
Big Tech & Business

Which states will robotaxi be offered to this year?

Arizona
1.86x
Nevada
1.38x
$42,962 vol4 markets
Big Tech & Business

Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?

Yes
8.56x
No
1.07x
$23,806 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?

Yes
1.70x
No
2.01x
$9,001 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.02x
$18,538 vol1 market