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TrendingElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinance

Tech & Science

All markets
AI
Big Tech & Business
Education
Energy
Medicine
Physics & Math
Public Health
Space

Big Tech & Business

AI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030
2.34x
Before 2028
3.66x
$835,972 vol3 markets
AI

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Yes
4.51x
No
1.22x
$63,596 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Yes
3.40x
No
1.33x
$73,352 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Yes
5.56x
No
1.15x
$314,142 vol1 market
Space

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

Yes
1.76x
No
1.93x
$47,470 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

Yes
1.76x
No
2.01x
$84,023 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Where will Waymo operate this year?

Denver, CO
1.70x
Detroit, MI
1.60x
$34,532 vol10 markets
Big Tech & Business

Which states will robotaxi be offered to this year?

Nevada
1.73x
Arizona
1.60x
$12,818 vol5 markets
Big Tech & Business

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Earbuds/Headphones
2.66x
Clip-on device for clothing
5.90x
$103,986 vol10 markets
AI

Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?

Yes
6.74x
No
1.12x
$53,047 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?

Yes
4.31x
No
1.18x
$19,585 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?

Yes
1.50x
No
2.24x
$8,387 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?

Yes
1.62x
No
2.09x
$55,402 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

How many people will Neuralink have implanted this year?

At least 40
2.14x
At least 50
2.89x
$10,007 vol6 markets
Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?

Yes
9.41x
No
1.06x
$16,395 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?

Yes
1.76x
No
1.90x
$8,842 vol1 market