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Big Tech & Business
Trending
Frequency
AI
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
2.34
x
38
%
Before 2028
3.66
x
25
%
$835,972 vol
3 markets
AI
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
Yes
4.51
x
21
%
No
1.22
x
79
%
$63,596 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
Yes
3.40
x
26
%
No
1.33
x
74
%
$73,352 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Yes
5.56
x
17
%
No
1.15
x
83
%
$314,142 vol
1 market
Space
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
Yes
1.76
x
53
%
No
1.93
x
47
%
$47,470 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
Yes
1.76
x
55
%
No
2.01
x
45
%
$84,023 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
Where will Waymo operate this year?
Denver, CO
1.70
x
54
%
Detroit, MI
1.60
x
56
%
$34,532 vol
10 markets
Big Tech & Business
Which states will robotaxi be offered to this year?
Nevada
1.73
x
51
%
Arizona
1.60
x
62
%
$12,818 vol
5 markets
Big Tech & Business
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Earbuds/Headphones
2.66
x
36
%
Clip-on device for clothing
5.90
x
11
%
$103,986 vol
10 markets
AI
Will any of the major AI companies pause research for safety reasons before 2027?
Yes
6.74
x
11
%
No
1.12
x
89
%
$53,047 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
Yes
4.31
x
22
%
No
1.18
x
78
%
$19,585 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
Yes
1.50
x
60
%
No
2.24
x
40
%
$8,387 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
Yes
1.62
x
58
%
No
2.09
x
42
%
$55,402 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
How many people will Neuralink have implanted this year?
At least 40
2.14
x
46
%
At least 50
2.89
x
43
%
$10,007 vol
6 markets
Big Tech & Business
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
Yes
9.41
x
10
%
No
1.06
x
90
%
$16,395 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
Yes
1.76
x
55
%
No
1.90
x
45
%
$8,842 vol
1 market