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Big Tech & Business

All markets
AI
AI Indices
Big Tech & Business
Education
Energy
Market Share
Medicine
Physics & Math
Public Health
Space
AI

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Yes
3.80x
No
1.23x
$115,365 vol1 market
Tesla

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.06x
$360,218 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Where will Waymo operate this year?

San Diego, CA
2.24x
Sacramento, CA
1.70x
$75,053 vol10 markets
AI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2030
1.50x
Before 2028
2.34x
$915,668 vol3 markets
Big Tech & Business

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Earbuds/Headphones
5.56x
Clip-on device for clothing
6.29x
$139,098 vol10 markets
Big Tech & Business

Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?

Yes
7.25x
No
1.09x
$23,336 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Which states will robotaxi be offered to this year?

Georgia
2.34x
Arizona
1.25x
$36,506 vol4 markets
Space

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

Yes
1.60x
No
2.09x
$55,249 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.06x
$17,303 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Yes
3.40x
No
1.28x
$86,998 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

Yes
1.55x
No
2.40x
$92,819 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?

Yes
1.79x
No
1.83x
$10,089 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?

Yes
2.59x
No
1.22x
$8,853 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?

Yes
2.34x
No
1.50x
$60,551 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

How many people will Neuralink have implanted this year?

At least 40
2.05x
At least 50
2.73x
$12,996 vol6 markets