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Big Tech & Business

All markets
AI
AI Indices
Big Tech & Business
Education
Energy
Market Share
Medicine
Physics & Math
Public Health
Space
AI

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Before 2028
1.65x
Before 2030
1.34x
$969,225 vol3 markets
AI

Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?

Yes
4.98x
No
1.16x
$130,963 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Where will Waymo operate this year?

Sacramento, CA
2.24x
Philadelphia, PA
2.46x
$249,479 vol21 markets
Big Tech & Business

Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

Yes
1.62x
No
2.24x
$92,970 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Earbuds/Headphones
3.52x
Clip-on device for clothing
6.74x
$141,088 vol10 markets
Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?

Yes
3.80x
No
1.23x
$87,204 vol1 market
Tesla

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.04x
$367,218 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Which states will robotaxi be offered to this year?

Georgia
2.34x
Arizona
1.22x
$39,815 vol4 markets
Big Tech & Business

New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?

Yes
2.29x
No
1.55x
$60,636 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?

Yes
6.74x
No
1.09x
$23,340 vol1 market
Space

Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?

Yes
1.90x
No
1.79x
$55,331 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?

Yes
2.40x
No
1.29x
$8,866 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

How many people will Neuralink have implanted this year?

At least 40
2.29x
At least 30
1.46x
$13,052 vol6 markets
Big Tech & Business

Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.05x
$17,303 vol1 market
Big Tech & Business

Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?

Yes
1.79x
No
1.86x
$10,100 vol1 market