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AI
Big Tech & Business
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Market Share
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Tokens
AI
Will OpenAI increase the cost of ChatGPT?
Yes
2.81
x
33
%
No
1.46
x
67
%
$98,279 vol
1 market
AI
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Before 2030
2.46
x
39
%
Before 2028
4.98
x
18
%
$861,142 vol
3 markets
Big Tech & Business
Where will Waymo operate this year?
Detroit, MI
2.01
x
48
%
Sacramento, CA
1.31
x
75
%
$58,412 vol
10 markets
Big Tech & Business
Which states will robotaxi be offered to this year?
Georgia
2.46
x
38
%
Nevada
1.22
x
79
%
$32,595 vol
4 markets
Tesla
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Yes
8.56
x
9
%
No
1.09
x
91
%
$344,211 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
Will SpaceX land anything successfully on Mars before 2030?
Yes
4.13
x
23
%
No
1.25
x
77
%
$85,173 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
Clip-on device for clothing
5.90
x
16
%
Earbuds/Headphones
5.90
x
17
%
$137,342 vol
10 markets
Big Tech & Business
Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
Yes
1.60
x
62
%
No
2.34
x
38
%
$91,428 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
How many people will Neuralink have implanted this year?
At least 40
2.46
x
39
%
At least 30
1.46
x
67
%
$11,574 vol
6 markets
Big Tech & Business
New York Times wins OpenAI lawsuit?
Yes
2.19
x
44
%
No
1.73
x
56
%
$60,094 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
Will OpenAI pay a tort claim with more than $1 million in damages before 2028?
Yes
1.65
x
53
%
No
2.05
x
47
%
$8,558 vol
1 market
Space
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together before 2028?
Yes
1.52
x
61
%
No
2.46
x
39
%
$53,177 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
Will the OpenAI/Jony Ive device have a screen?
Yes
7.25
x
7
%
No
1.08
x
93
%
$22,959 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
Will SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
Yes
11.7
x
5
%
No
1.07
x
95
%
$17,069 vol
1 market
Big Tech & Business
Will the US start the process of building a nuclear-powered data center on a military base before 2030?
Yes
1.83
x
53
%
No
1.79
x
47
%
$9,648 vol
1 market