Will Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?

$77,703 vol

Order book

Market Rules

If Blue Origin lands an uncrewed Blue Moon MK1 lander on the moon before SpaceX lands an uncrewed Starship as well as before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from Blue Origin, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.

Timeline and payout

Market openFeb 21, 2025 · 10:00am EST

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2030 at 10:00am EST.

SeriesKXBLUESPACEX

EventKXBLUESPACEX-30

MarketKXBLUESPACEX-30

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.