Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
Chance
Claude
Anthropic
32%
▼ 6
Claude
Anthropic
32%
▼ 6
ChatGPT
OpenAI
16%
▲ 1
ChatGPT
OpenAI
16%
▲ 1
Gemini
Google
7%
Gemini
Google
7%
5 more
Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
Market Rules
Claude
If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control).
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 9, 2026 · 8:00pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXMODELHIGH
EventKXMODELHIGH-27-1550
MarketKXMODELHIGH-27-1550-CLAU
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.