When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
Chance
Before 2027
6.8%
Before 2027
6.8%
Before 2028
22.8%
▲ 3
Before 2028
22.8%
▲ 3
Before 2030
38.5%
▼ 1.2
Before 2030
38.5%
▼ 1.2
2 more
Market Rules
Before 2027
Resolves Yes if OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2026.Outcome verified from OpenAI.
Timeline and payout
Market openAug 25, 2025 · 1:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout1 hour after closing
SeriesKXOAIAGI
EventOAIAGI
MarketOAIAGI-26
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Before 2027
Odds
0% chanceMax payout