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TrendingElections

Politics

CultureSportsCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science

Politics

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Trump

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.86x
Before Apr 1, 2027
2.05x
$39,600,093 vol8 markets
Trump

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?

Amy Gleason
Amy Gleason
Amy Gleason
2.14x
Susie Wiles
Susie Wiles
Susie Wiles
2.46x
$7,183,577 vol31 markets
Politics

Who will be Trump’s next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly
Anna Kelly
Anna Kelly
4.13x
Scott Jennings
Scott Jennings
Scott Jennings
5.56x
$177,050 vol25 markets
Politics

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.07x
$2,196,901 vol1 market
Recurring

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (8/9-8/15)

180-199
2.52x
160-179
2.66x
$215,153 vol10 markets
Space

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029
3.96x
Before 2028
5.25x
$35,071,630 vol7 markets
Congress

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.14x
Before Oct 1, 2027
2.40x
$6,292,140 vol9 markets
Elections

Generic Ballot: Democrats Up/Down (8/7-8/14)?

Yes
1.19x
No
5.25x
$55,114 vol1 market
Trump

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Jan 1, 2028
1.70x
Before Mar 1, 2027
4.31x
$4,324,963 vol4 markets
Recurring

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (8/9-8/15)

At least 7
2.40x
At least 8
5.25x
$46,782 vol10 markets
Recurring

Trump’s approval rating today?

39.1 to 39.3
1.28x
38.8 to 39.0
4.98x
$72,487 vol8 markets
Iran

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.19x
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.66x
$19,800,569 vol9 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

Anthony Fauci
Anthony Fauci
Anthony Fauci
2.01x
John Brennan
John Brennan
John Brennan
2.66x
$1,450,148 vol40 markets
Congress

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.05x
$11,546,140 vol1 market
International

Which leaders will leave office this year?

Christopher Luxon
Christopher Luxon
Christopher Luxon
1.93x
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.14x
$8,780,905 vol34 markets
Politics

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser today?

James Talarico
1.13x
Abdul El-Sayed
7.85x
$27,083 vol6 markets
Trump

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 330?

Yes
46.8x
No
--
$406,825 vol1 market
Recurring

Who will Donald Trump talk to this month?

Vladimir Putin
Vladimir Putin
Vladimir Putin
1.93x
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
1.70x
$67,315 vol21 markets
Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.05x
$1,566,907 vol1 market
Congress

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027
10.4x
Before Dec 1, 2026
13.4x
$3,818,718 vol5 markets
Trump

Who will be named in Epstein files released this year?

Bill Clinton
Bill Clinton
Bill Clinton
2.01x
Prince Andrew
Prince Andrew
Prince Andrew
2.14x
$65,833 vol18 markets
Trump

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

Before Sep 1, 2026
1.65x
Before Aug 28, 2026
2.24x
$6,366 vol5 markets
International

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Before January 20, 2029
5.26x
Before 2027
25.0x
$7,484,647 vol2 markets
International

Nobel Peace Prize winner

Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
3.40x
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
7.25x
$778,551 vol21 markets