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Politics

SCOTUS & courts

Who will be Trump’s next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

Anna Kelly

Anna Kelly

Scott Jennings

Scott Jennings

Scott Jennings

$3,586,543 vol27 more

Who will be Trump’s next Press Secretary?

MarketPays outOdds

Anna Kelly

Anna Kelly

Anna Kelly

3.80x

Scott Jennings

Scott Jennings

Scott Jennings

5.56x

Maria Bartiromo

Maria Bartiromo

Maria Bartiromo

6.29x

Margo Martin

Margo Martin

Margo Martin

13.4x

$3,586,543 vol25 more

1 of 3

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Apr 1, 2027

2.19x

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.67x

$42,397,360 vol9 markets

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes

13.4x

No

1.07x

$2,970,858 vol1 market

Trump’s approval rating tomorrow?

39.7 to 39.9

1.93x

40.0 to 40.2

2.46x

$126,123 vol8 markets

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (8/30-9/5)

200-219

3.18x

180-199

4.51x

$134,775 vol10 markets

Will Trump rename the Strait of Hormuz?

Before Oct 1, 2026

15.6x

Before Sep 15, 2026

23.4x

$29,011 vol2 markets

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?

Amy Gleason

Amy Gleason

Amy Gleason

2.05x

Howard Lutnick

Howard Lutnick

Howard Lutnick

2.89x

$7,523,192 vol30 markets

When will Trump’s next Press Secretary be announced?

Before Oct 1, 2026

1.73x

Before Sep 15, 2026

4.13x

$142,536 vol3 markets

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Dec 1, 2026

3.29x

Before Nov 1, 2026

4.98x

$1,159,698 vol3 markets

SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

Anthony Fauci

Anthony Fauci

Anthony Fauci

2.52x

John Brennan

John Brennan

John Brennan

2.81x

$1,676,202 vol41 markets

How many lead service lines will Michigan replace this year?

Above 32,500

2.05x

Above 30,000

1.31x

$26,220 vol7 markets

Which leaders will leave office this year?

Christopher Luxon

Christopher Luxon

Christopher Luxon

2.09x

Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

Benjamin Netanyahu

2.24x

$8,868,361 vol34 markets

Will Trump’s approval rating increase this week? (8/28-9/4)?

Yes

1.13x

No

5.56x

$52,899 vol1 market

How many states will Trump visit this month?

At least 9

1.70x

At least 10

2.29x

$7,530 vol9 markets

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before 2027

2.89x

Before 2028

1.38x

$7,245,411 vol3 markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)

Above 25

1.34x

Above 30

4.13x

$18,023 vol11 markets

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get this year?

Above 30

2.34x

Above 40

4.31x

$143,862 vol10 markets

Nobel Peace Prize winner

Save the Children

Save the Children

Save the Children

6.29x

Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)

Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)

Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)

7.85x

$853,838 vol21 markets

SCOTUS & courts

Who will be arrested this year?

John Brennan

John Brennan

John Brennan

3.66x

Mahmoud Khalil

Mahmoud Khalil

Mahmoud Khalil

5.25x

$2,424,821 vol24 markets

119th Congress legislative combo

Legislating combo

5.90x

Dysfunction combo

93.5x

$31,715 vol2 markets

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (8/31-9/6)

5

2.52x

4

3.18x

$10,156 vol4 markets

Which states will Trump visit this year?

Colorado

Colorado

Colorado

2.01x

Minnesota

Minnesota

Minnesota

1.62x

$194,647 vol8 markets