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SCOTUS & courts

TrumpJan 1

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Dec 1, 2027

Before Nov 1, 2027

$46,366,691 vol15 more

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

MarketPays outOdds

Before Dec 1, 2027

1.93x

Before Nov 1, 2027

2.05x

Before Jan 1, 2028

1.76x

Before Oct 1, 2027

2.19x

$46,366,691 vol13 more

1 of 3

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 22

1.76x

Above 20

1.46x

$102,897 vol12 markets

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/11-10/17)

140-159

3.80x

160-179

4.31x

$55,539 vol10 markets

Trump’s approval rating on Friday?

Above 38.7

3.80x

38.2 to 38.4

4.13x

$42,416 vol8 markets

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (10/12-10/18)

7

1.09x

6

3.18x

$80,514 vol8 markets

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Oct 1, 2027

1.79x

Before Aug 1, 2027

2.24x

$4,864,730 vol10 markets

SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

Ilhan Omar

Ilhan Omar

Ilhan Omar

2.40x

Cassidy Hutchinson

Cassidy Hutchinson

Cassidy Hutchinson

2.73x

$1,942,854 vol43 markets

Will President Trump be impeached during his term?

Yes

1.46x

No

2.81x

$697,606 vol1 market

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 290

2.01x

Above 280

1.55x

$32,146 vol8 markets

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages this year?

Yes

1.08x

No

10.4x

$13,504 vol1 market

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5

1.86x

Above 6

2.98x

$47,623 vol8 markets

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 190

1.76x

Above 200

3.08x

$34,703 vol9 markets

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Apr 1, 2027

1.48x

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.46x

$7,387,148 vol6 markets

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/10-10/16)

At least 10

1.50x

At least 15

2.59x

$18,898 vol7 markets

How many states will Trump visit this month?

At least 23

1.65x

At least 22

1.50x

$52,624 vol18 markets

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

October 13

5.90x

October 16

6.29x

$14,483 vol7 markets

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?

Doug Collins

Doug Collins

Doug Collins

3.66x

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

3.52x

$7,980,580 vol30 markets

How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster this month?

0

1.14x

1

7.25x

$22,611 vol5 markets

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Feb 1, 2027

1.76x

Before Apr 1, 2027

1.34x

$1,410,828 vol9 markets

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029

2.46x

Before Jan 1, 2028

2.59x

$22,290,757 vol7 markets

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/11-10/17)

At least 5

2.05x

At least 4

1.52x

$15,999 vol11 markets

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/11 - 10/17)

Above 0

2.24x

Above 1

3.40x

$7,869 vol5 markets