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Social
Politics
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All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Politics
Sep 23
Trump’s RCP approval average tomorrow?
Below 38.7%
62
%
38.7%
16
%
$107,369 vol
7 more
Politics
Trump’s RCP approval average tomorrow?
Market
Pays out
Odds
Below 38.7%
1.57
x
62
%
38.7%
5.90
x
16
%
38.8%
7.25
x
13
%
38.9%
13.4
x
7
%
$107,369 vol
5 more
1 of 3
Congress
Will the Clarity Act become law?
Before Jan 1, 2028
3.29
x
28
%
Before Oct 1, 2027
5.25
x
14
%
$10,044,954 vol
8 markets
Politics
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Above 25
3.52
x
28
%
Above 20
1.29
x
74
%
$143,618 vol
11 markets
Space
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
Before Jan 20, 2029
4.98
x
18
%
Before 2028
6.74
x
14
%
$37,534,446 vol
6 markets
Politics
Who will be Trump’s next Press Secretary?
Scott Jennings
5.56
x
17
%
Anna Kelly
5.90
x
16
%
$5,964,788 vol
51 markets
Politics
Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?
Yes
4.13
x
23
%
No
1.26
x
77
%
$44,527 vol
1 market
Recurring
How many bills will President Trump sign this month?
10
6.29
x
15
%
9
9.41
x
3
%
$67,110 vol
11 markets
Iran
US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before Jan 20, 2029
2.46
x
39
%
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.73
x
35
%
$21,492,813 vol
8 markets
Politics
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
At least 202
2.05
x
46
%
At least 198
1.60
x
61
%
$45,137 vol
14 markets
Politics
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)
Above 5
1.22
x
81
%
Above 10
10.4
x
11
%
$30,795 vol
6 markets
Politics
Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/20-9/26)
100-119
3.96
x
23
%
80-99
3.80
x
22
%
$74,153 vol
10 markets
Politics
How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?
At least 238
2.14
x
42
%
At least 234
1.65
x
57
%
$25,648 vol
11 markets
Politics
How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/21-9/27)
7
1.03
x
97
%
6
15.6
x
8
%
$72,716 vol
8 markets
Trump
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?
Pete Hegseth
3.52
x
27
%
Doug Collins
3.66
x
26
%
$7,801,218 vol
30 markets
International
Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.73
x
56
%
Before Nov 1, 2026
2.24
x
45
%
$12,980 vol
3 markets
Politics
How many states will Trump visit this month?
At least 9
2.09
x
22
%
At least 10
7.25
x
14
%
$48,502 vol
9 markets
International
Nobel Peace Prize winner
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
6.74
x
15
%
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
8.56
x
12
%
$1,164,979 vol
24 markets
Politics
How many Senate seats will Independents win in the Midterms?
At least 1
2.89
x
33
%
At least 2
8.56
x
11
%
$13,813 vol
3 markets
Politics
How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms?
At least 1
8.56
x
11
%
At least 2
13.4
x
7
%
$19,823 vol
3 markets
Politics
Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)
Above 175
2.29
x
41
%
Above 150
1.22
x
81
%
$40,802 vol
5 markets
Politics
How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/20-9/26)
At least 5
1.57
x
61
%
At least 6
2.40
x
38
%
$32,207 vol
11 markets
Trump
When will Trump officially rename AI?
Before Nov 1, 2026
2.52
x
37
%
Before Oct 1, 2026
2.98
x
33
%
$23,920 vol
2 markets