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Politics

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
PoliticsSep 23

Trump’s RCP approval average tomorrow?

Below 38.7%
38.7%
$107,369 vol7 more
Politics

Trump’s RCP approval average tomorrow?

MarketPays outOdds
Below 38.7%
1.57x
38.7%
5.90x
38.8%
7.25x
38.9%
13.4x
$107,369 vol5 more
1 of 3
Congress

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
3.29x
Before Oct 1, 2027
5.25x
$10,044,954 vol8 markets
Politics

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)

Above 25
3.52x
Above 20
1.29x
$143,618 vol11 markets
Space

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

Before Jan 20, 2029
4.98x
Before 2028
6.74x
$37,534,446 vol6 markets
Politics

Who will be Trump’s next Press Secretary?

Scott Jennings
Scott Jennings
Scott Jennings
5.56x
Anna Kelly
Anna Kelly
Anna Kelly
5.90x
$5,964,788 vol51 markets
Politics

Will the US ban diesel exports before Election Day?

Yes
4.13x
No
1.26x
$44,527 vol1 market
Recurring

How many bills will President Trump sign this month?

10
6.29x
9
9.41x
$67,110 vol11 markets
Iran

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.46x
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.73x
$21,492,813 vol8 markets
Politics

How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?

At least 202
2.05x
At least 198
1.60x
$45,137 vol14 markets
Politics

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)

Above 5
1.22x
Above 10
10.4x
$30,795 vol6 markets
Politics

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (9/20-9/26)

100-119
3.96x
80-99
3.80x
$74,153 vol10 markets
Politics

How many House seats will Democrats win in the Midterms?

At least 238
2.14x
At least 234
1.65x
$25,648 vol11 markets
Politics

How many days will Trump be photographed this week? (9/21-9/27)

7
1.03x
6
15.6x
$72,716 vol8 markets
Trump

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?

Pete Hegseth
Pete Hegseth
Pete Hegseth
3.52x
Doug Collins
Doug Collins
Doug Collins
3.66x
$7,801,218 vol30 markets
International

Will the U.S. and China agree to establish an AI hotline?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.73x
Before Nov 1, 2026
2.24x
$12,980 vol3 markets
Politics

How many states will Trump visit this month?

At least 9
2.09x
At least 10
7.25x
$48,502 vol9 markets
International

Nobel Peace Prize winner

Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
6.74x
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
Sudan’s Emergency Response Rooms (ERRs)
8.56x
$1,164,979 vol24 markets
Politics

How many Senate seats will Independents win in the Midterms?

At least 1
2.89x
At least 2
8.56x
$13,813 vol3 markets
Politics

How many House seats will Independents win in the Midterms?

At least 1
8.56x
At least 2
13.4x
$19,823 vol3 markets
Politics

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)

Above 175
2.29x
Above 150
1.22x
$40,802 vol5 markets
Politics

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (9/20-9/26)

At least 5
1.57x
At least 6
2.40x
$32,207 vol11 markets
Trump

When will Trump officially rename AI?

Before Nov 1, 2026
2.52x
Before Oct 1, 2026
2.98x
$23,920 vol2 markets