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Congress
Foreign Elections
International
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NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

Cassidy Hutchinson
Cassidy Hutchinson
Cassidy Hutchinson
2.24x
Anthony Fauci
Anthony Fauci
Anthony Fauci
4.13x
$1,880,993 vol42 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be arrested this year?

John Brennan
John Brennan
John Brennan
3.80x
Mahmoud Khalil
Mahmoud Khalil
Mahmoud Khalil
5.90x
$2,524,521 vol24 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?

Yes
5.56x
No
1.12x
$15,436 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will a court block paid early access to Trump’s Truth Social posts this year?

Yes
1.48x
No
1.79x
$18,845 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?

Yes
8.56x
No
1.07x
$105,106 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

Yes
8.56x
No
1.06x
$63,986 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.62x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.89x
$15,919 vol2 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?

Yes
1.33x
No
2.81x
$1,934 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

Andrew Oldham
Andrew Oldham
Andrew Oldham
4.51x
D. John Sauer
D. John Sauer
D. John Sauer
6.74x
$736,378 vol41 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?

Yes
3.96x
No
1.25x
$42,781 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?

Yes
1.46x
No
2.46x
$3,946 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Before Jul 1, 2027
2.01x
Before Oct 1, 2027
1.50x
$572,710 vol5 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.29x
Before Jul 1, 2027
6.74x
$49,262 vol3 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump’s tariffs this year?

Yes
5.56x
No
1.13x
$36,618 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS allow school employees to sue under Title IX for workplace sex discrimination?

Yes
2.66x
No
1.42x
$199 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

Yes
1.90x
No
1.73x
$32,154 vol1 market
Trump

First Circuit fully affirms Harvard funding ruling?

Yes
1.26x
No
1.70x
$7,601 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?

Yes
1.18x
No
4.31x
$5,586 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS permit Missouri’s HB 1 House map?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.01x
$25,730 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?

Yes
2.59x
No
1.52x
$5,423 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?

Yes
3.80x
No
1.25x
$8,400 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump’s term?

6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
1.31x
7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals
6.29x
$29,556 vol5 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.03x
$406,764 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS overturn Trump’s $83.3 million Carroll judgment?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.07x
$444 vol1 market