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NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
SCOTUS & courts
Who will be arrested this year?
John Brennan
3.66
x
26
%
Mahmoud Khalil
4.51
x
21
%
$2,518,173 vol
24 markets
SCOTUS & courts
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?
Before Jul 1, 2027
1.93
x
49
%
Before Jan 1, 2027
6.29
x
13
%
$570,616 vol
2 markets
SCOTUS & courts
Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?
John Brennan
3.08
x
31
%
Anthony Fauci
4.51
x
21
%
$1,860,955 vol
42 markets
SCOTUS & courts
Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?
Yes
1.33
x
66
%
No
2.98
x
34
%
$888 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear this year?
U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court
2.29
x
36
%
Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice
2.59
x
37
%
$47,164 vol
10 markets
SCOTUS & courts
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Andrew Oldham
4.13
x
21
%
D. John Sauer
5.25
x
18
%
$735,334 vol
41 markets
International
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil’s Supreme Court?
Yes
4.31
x
23
%
No
1.25
x
77
%
$13,645 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.29
x
34
%
Before Jul 1, 2027
6.74
x
14
%
$49,117 vol
3 markets
SCOTUS & courts
Will a court block paid early access to Trump’s Truth Social posts this year?
Yes
1.90
x
42
%
No
1.73
x
58
%
$17,848 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?
Yes
1.34
x
67
%
No
2.81
x
33
%
$1,317 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
Yes
2.98
x
30
%
No
1.31
x
70
%
$15,703 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?
Yes
1.28
x
80
%
No
1.86
x
20
%
$3,545 vol
1 market
Politics
Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?
Yes
3.96
x
21
%
No
1.25
x
79
%
$42,668 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?
Yes
1.10
x
90
%
No
4.98
x
10
%
$5,533 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump’s tariffs this year?
Yes
7.25
x
14
%
No
1.08
x
86
%
$36,337 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Will courts let the 75-country visa suspension resume?
Yes
2.19
x
46
%
No
1.55
x
54
%
$4,118 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?
Yes
6.29
x
14
%
No
1.07
x
86
%
$104,624 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?
Yes
4.98
x
19
%
No
1.10
x
81
%
$3,325 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Will the DOJ claim a Biden pardon is void in court?
Yes
8.56
x
11
%
No
1.05
x
89
%
$75,760 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Will a court block the FCC’s ABC license review this year?
Yes
1.15
x
90
%
No
2.09
x
10
%
$6,018 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?
Yes
1.70
x
57
%
No
1.93
x
43
%
$32,133 vol
1 market
Trump
Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
Yes
3.18
x
34
%
No
1.25
x
66
%
$7,510 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?
Yes
1.34
x
72
%
No
2.66
x
28
%
$147 vol
1 market
SCOTUS & courts
Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
Yes
10.4
x
4
%
No
1.03
x
96
%
$6,164 vol
1 market