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SCOTUS & courts

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

John Brennan
John Brennan
John Brennan
1.86x
Leon Black
Leon Black
Leon Black
2.52x
$1,745,434 vol42 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be arrested this year?

John Brennan
John Brennan
John Brennan
3.40x
Anthony Fauci
Anthony Fauci
Anthony Fauci
7.25x
$2,460,345 vol24 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

Andrew Oldham
Andrew Oldham
Andrew Oldham
4.51x
James Ho
James Ho
James Ho
5.90x
$712,260 vol39 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

Yes
8.56x
No
1.07x
$58,477 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

How many Supreme Court justices will the President confirm?

2
2.29x
0
2.46x
$212,018 vol10 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Before Jul 1, 2027
2.52x
Before Jan 1, 2027
9.41x
$532,634 vol3 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.04x
$405,160 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump’s term?

Clarence Thomas
Clarence Thomas
Clarence Thomas
1.97x
Samuel Alito
Samuel Alito
Samuel Alito
1.73x
$105,308 vol9 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will a court block paid early access to Trump’s Truth Social posts this year?

Yes
2.81x
No
1.36x
$15,355 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

When will Justice Alito retire from the Supreme Court?

Before Jul 1, 2027
2.81x
Before Jan 1, 2027
11.7x
$1,131,164 vol2 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will the DOJ claim a Biden pardon is void in court?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.06x
$75,554 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS let USPS enforce ballot-mail rules?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.04x
$7,564 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

Yes
9.41x
No
1.06x
$11,031 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump’s tariffs this year?

Yes
6.29x
No
1.13x
$34,953 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

Yes
1.97x
No
1.70x
$31,623 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.46x
Before Jul 1, 2027
7.85x
$47,393 vol3 markets
International

Will CK Hutchison win its Panama ports arbitration?

Yes
2.40x
No
1.44x
$23 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump’s term?

6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
1.34x
7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals
5.90x
$29,220 vol5 markets
SCOTUS & courts

New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

Before 2028
1.73x
Before Jan 21, 2029
1.31x
$312,268 vol5 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.62x
Before Oct 1, 2026
7.25x
$12,943 vol2 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?

Yes
1.33x
No
2.73x
$827 vol1 market

Will Amazon win the FTC ad surcharge lawsuit?

Yes
2.73x
No
1.34x
$13 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Court rules against NYC’s pied-à-terre tax rollout this year?

Yes
1.62x
No
1.97x
$3,693 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will courts let the 75-country visa suspension resume?

Yes
1.46x
No
2.40x
$3,781 vol1 market