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All markets
Congress
International
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NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

Ilhan Omar
Ilhan Omar
2.52x
Corey Lewandowski
Corey Lewandowski
3.40x
$2,306,026 vol

Who will be arrested this year?

Ilhan Omar
Ilhan Omar
3.18x
John Brennan
John Brennan
4.31x
$2,599,000 vol

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.76x
Before Oct 1, 2027
1.50x
$602,064 vol

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear this year?

Roybal v. Griffith
1.55x
Republican National Committee v. Eakin
7.25x
$63,395 vol

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.24x
Before Jul 1, 2027
5.25x
$52,199 vol

Will Brigitte Macron win her defamation lawsuit against Candace Owens?

Yes
2.01x
No
1.73x
$15,819 vol

Meta ordered to pay $10 billion or more in child safety case?

Yes
5.25x
No
1.12x
$505 vol

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

Andrew Oldham
Andrew Oldham
7.25x
D. John Sauer
D. John Sauer
7.25x
$758,111 vol

Will SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?

Yes
2.24x
No
1.57x
$6,959 vol

Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.03x
$6,683 vol

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.55x
Before Jan 1, 2027
3.18x
$17,054 vol

Will a court invalidate or enjoin Nikki Lucas’s election as Brooklyn Dem chair?

Yes
2.73x
No
1.36x
$2,695 vol

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

Yes
7.25x
No
1.07x
$13,418 vol

What will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump’s term?

6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
1.31x
Not nine justices
10.4x
$29,764 vol

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.03x
$407,136 vol

Will SCOTUS let district courts hear constitutional challenges to veterans-benefits laws?

Yes
3.96x
No
1.18x
$1,191 vol

Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil’s Supreme Court?

Before Jan 1, 2028
1.86x
Before Jul 1, 2027
3.52x
$17,789 vol

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?

Before Jul 1, 2027
2.14x
Before Jan 1, 2027
3.29x
$7,670 vol

Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?

Yes
1.44x
No
2.29x
$170 vol

Will a court block paid early access to Trump’s Truth Social posts?

Before Apr 1, 2027
1.65x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.40x
$21,225 vol

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump’s tariffs this year?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.05x
$37,203 vol

Will the Pentagon win the Stars and Stripes firing lawsuit?

Yes
1.34x
No
2.66x
$882 vol

Will Fox win summary judgment against Smartmatic?

Yes
5.25x
No
1.10x
$991 vol

Will the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump’s Presidency?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.01x
$5,751 vol