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SCOTUS & courts

All markets
Congress
Fed
Growth
International
Iran
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Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be arrested this year?

John Brennan
John Brennan
John Brennan
3.66x
Mahmoud Khalil
Mahmoud Khalil
Mahmoud Khalil
4.51x
$2,518,173 vol24 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.93x
Before Jan 1, 2027
6.29x
$570,616 vol2 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

John Brennan
John Brennan
John Brennan
3.08x
Anthony Fauci
Anthony Fauci
Anthony Fauci
4.51x
$1,860,955 vol42 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?

Yes
1.33x
No
2.98x
$888 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear this year?

U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court
2.29x
Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice
2.59x
$47,164 vol10 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

Andrew Oldham
Andrew Oldham
Andrew Oldham
4.13x
D. John Sauer
D. John Sauer
D. John Sauer
5.25x
$735,334 vol41 markets
International

Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil’s Supreme Court?

Yes
4.31x
No
1.25x
$13,645 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.29x
Before Jul 1, 2027
6.74x
$49,117 vol3 markets
SCOTUS & courts

Will a court block paid early access to Trump’s Truth Social posts this year?

Yes
1.90x
No
1.73x
$17,848 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS overturn or narrow Stinson deference to federal sentencing-guideline commentary?

Yes
1.34x
No
2.81x
$1,317 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Yes
2.98x
No
1.31x
$15,703 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court bar Boulder’s state-law climate claims against Suncor and Exxon?

Yes
1.28x
No
1.86x
$3,545 vol1 market
Politics

Will US Supreme Court ban transgender girls and women from competing on female sports teams?

Yes
3.96x
No
1.25x
$42,668 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will SCOTUS recognize a right to possess AR-15-style rifles?

Yes
1.10x
No
4.98x
$5,533 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court hear a case on Trump’s tariffs this year?

Yes
7.25x
No
1.08x
$36,337 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will courts let the 75-country visa suspension resume?

Yes
2.19x
No
1.55x
$4,118 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the Supreme Court overturn gay marriage?

Yes
6.29x
No
1.07x
$104,624 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will Trump win his BBC lawsuit?

Yes
4.98x
No
1.10x
$3,325 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will the DOJ claim a Biden pardon is void in court?

Yes
8.56x
No
1.05x
$75,760 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will a court block the FCC’s ABC license review this year?

Yes
1.15x
No
2.09x
$6,018 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Courts consider Amazon a monopoly?

Yes
1.70x
No
1.93x
$32,133 vol1 market
Trump

Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?

Yes
3.18x
No
1.25x
$7,510 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will a court rule Visa violated antitrust law on debit?

Yes
1.34x
No
2.66x
$147 vol1 market
SCOTUS & courts

Will any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.03x
$6,164 vol1 market