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Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

Ilhan Omar
Ilhan Omar
4.31x
John Brennan
John Brennan
7.85x
$2,824,876 vol

Who will be arrested this year?

John Brennan
John Brennan
10.4x
Ilhan Omar
Ilhan Omar
7.25x
$2,707,935 vol

Will James Comey’s threat case be dismissed?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.48x
Before Jan 1, 2027
5.25x
$19,744 vol

Will Ghislaine Maxwell be released from government custody?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.02x
$408,255 vol

Will a New York Times reporter be federally charged over Air Force One reporting?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.02x
$43,888 vol

Will Trump be held liable for January 6th in any court?

Yes
3.80x
No
1.18x
$8,464 vol

Will anyone face federal charges tied to Fulton County’s 2020 election?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.12x
$17,570 vol

Will any court rule that the 2020 election was fraudulent?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.03x
$84,168 vol

Comey indictment reinstated on appeal before 2027?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.03x
$17,569 vol

Will James Comey’s national defense information case be dismissed?

Before Jan 1, 2027
3.29x
Before Jul 1, 2027
1.01x
$10,577 vol