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Elections
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Recurring
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Trump
Local
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Before 2027
15.6
x
6
%
Before Sep 1, 2026
46.8
x
2
%
$6,544,680 vol
2 markets
Local
Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?
Yes
1.20
x
82
%
No
4.51
x
18
%
$34,310 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes this year?
Yes
7.85
x
10
%
No
1.05
x
90
%
$71,245 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?
Yes
7.85
x
12
%
No
1.09
x
88
%
$36,650 vol
1 market
Local
Sylvia Luke out as Lieutenant Governor of Hawaii?
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.36
x
68
%
Before Sep 1, 2026
5.56
x
11
%
$5,156 vol
2 markets
Politics
How many states will adopt data center moratoriums this year?
At least 2
1.48
x
67
%
At least 4
4.73
x
18
%
$21,718 vol
4 markets
Local
Will another state enact a data center moratorium this year?
Yes
1.55
x
65
%
No
2.29
x
35
%
$5,039 vol
1 market
Local
Jessica Tisch departure announced?
Yes
2.98
x
30
%
No
1.31
x
70
%
$31,536 vol
1 market
Local
Will Todd Blanche lose his New York law license?
Yes
8.56
x
13
%
No
1.06
x
87
%
$960 vol
1 market
Local
Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
Yes
1.44
x
63
%
No
2.59
x
37
%
$2,172 vol
1 market
Local
NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?
Increase 0.01-0.99%
2.09
x
41
%
Decrease 0-0.99%
2.81
x
30
%
$83,024 vol
8 markets
Local
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
Before 2030
2.24
x
36
%
Before 2029
2.52
x
33
%
$101,868 vol
4 markets
Local
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
Yes
9.41
x
10
%
No
1.05
x
90
%
$39,349 vol
1 market
Local
Who will announce a California departure this year?
Larry Page
1.93
x
51
%
Mark Zuckerberg
3.40
x
28
%
$23,060 vol
7 markets
Local
Will NYC buses become free before 2027?
Yes
10.4
x
4
%
No
1.04
x
96
%
$28,857 vol
1 market
Politics
Will Republicans hold a midterm convention?
Yes
1.02
x
99
%
No
11.7
x
1
%
$4,524 vol
1 market
Local
Jared Polis out as Governor of Colorado?
Before Jan 1, 2027
10.4
x
4
%
Before Sep 1, 2026
93.5
x
2
%
$769 vol
2 markets
Local
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
Yes
2.89
x
33
%
No
1.36
x
67
%
$8,569 vol
1 market
Local
Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?
Yes
1.29
x
76
%
No
1.57
x
24
%
$1,456 vol
1 market
Local
Which state laws will be enacted this year?
Health Information Privacy Act
3.52
x
13
%
Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite
1.19
x
61
%
$2,110 vol
6 markets
Local
Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
Yes
4.73
x
18
%
No
1.20
x
82
%
$3,172 vol
1 market
Local
Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM this year?
Yes
3.52
x
22
%
No
1.26
x
78
%
$4 vol
1 market
Local
Will New York tax QSBS gains?
Yes
13.4
x
7
%
No
1.06
x
93
%
$2,563 vol
1 market
Politics
NYC efficiency savings in FY2027?
Above $800 million
2.01
x
45
%
Above $600 million
1.55
x
59
%
$629 vol
5 markets