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Elections
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Recurring
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Trump
Local
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Before 2027
13.4
x
6
%
Before Sep 1, 2026
93.5
x
1
%
$6,561,189 vol
2 markets
Local
Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?
Yes
1.26
x
74
%
No
3.80
x
26
%
$35,078 vol
1 market
Politics
How many DSA members will there be at the end of 2026?
Above 160,000
1.90
x
50
%
Above 170,000
2.24
x
35
%
$9,813 vol
7 markets
Local
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Yes
7.85
x
9
%
No
1.06
x
91
%
$18,163 vol
1 market
Local
Will Todd Blanche lose his New York law license?
Yes
6.74
x
12
%
No
1.08
x
88
%
$1,236 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?
Yes
6.74
x
8
%
No
1.08
x
92
%
$37,352 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani raise property taxes?
Yes
6.29
x
15
%
No
1.12
x
85
%
$14,824 vol
1 market
Local
Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
Yes
13.4
x
8
%
No
1.01
x
92
%
$19,663 vol
1 market
Local
Ken Martin out as DNC chair?
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.05
x
44
%
Before Jan 1, 2028
1.52
x
62
%
$34,353 vol
7 markets
Local
Jessica Tisch departure announced?
Yes
3.40
x
27
%
No
1.26
x
73
%
$31,839 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes this year?
Yes
8.56
x
6
%
No
1.05
x
94
%
$71,487 vol
1 market
Local
Will any U.S. state experience a population decrease of at least 10% between 2025 and 2035?
Yes
4.31
x
18
%
No
1.18
x
82
%
$3,223 vol
1 market
Local
Will Jasmine Crockett campaign for James Talarico?
Yes
1.34
x
73
%
No
2.98
x
27
%
$2,454 vol
1 market
Local
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
Yes
2.89
x
33
%
No
1.36
x
67
%
$8,584 vol
1 market
Local
Will UC reinstate its SAT/ACT requirement before 2028?
Yes
1.29
x
76
%
No
3.18
x
24
%
$1,456 vol
1 market
Local
Which state laws will be enacted this year?
Clean Energy Affordability Rewrite
1.46
x
61
%
AI Anti-Discrimination
2.66
x
35
%
$2,110 vol
6 markets
Local
NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?
Increase 0.01-0.99%
2.09
x
46
%
Decrease 0-0.99%
2.73
x
35
%
$85,157 vol
8 markets
Local
Jared Polis out as Governor of Colorado?
Before Jan 1, 2027
18.8
x
4
%
Before Sep 1, 2026
93.5
x
2
%
$784 vol
2 markets
Local
Will Pennsylvania formally begin leaving PJM this year?
Yes
3.52
x
22
%
No
1.26
x
78
%
$4 vol
1 market
Local
Will New York tax QSBS gains?
Yes
13.4
x
7
%
No
1.06
x
93
%
$2,563 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
Yes
11.7
x
6
%
No
1.05
x
94
%
$39,587 vol
1 market
Politics
NYC efficiency savings in FY2027?
Above $800 million
2.01
x
42
%
Above $600 million
1.55
x
59
%
$836 vol
5 markets
Local
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?
Yes
6.74
x
19
%
No
1.10
x
81
%
$30,025 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?
Before 2030
2.24
x
43
%
Before 2029
2.59
x
37
%
$102,365 vol
4 markets