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NYC

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
NYC

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (9/6 - 9/12)

Yes
7.25x
No
1.13x
$17,121 vol1 market
Politics

How high will gas prices in New York get this year?

Above $4.80
4.13x
Above $5.00
9.41x
$75,952 vol8 markets
Politics

Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.05x
$15,217 vol1 market
NYC

Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City before October?

Yes
1.03x
No
15.6x
$16,360 vol1 market
NYC

Will NYC’s rent freeze take effect on October 1?

Yes
1.07x
No
10.4x
$20,115 vol1 market
Local

Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes this year?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.06x
$76,977 vol1 market
Local

Will Mamdani raise property taxes?

Yes
6.74x
No
1.12x
$15,737 vol1 market
Local

NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

Increase 0.01-0.99%
2.14x
Decrease 0-0.99%
2.66x
$87,026 vol8 markets
Politics

How many billionaires will New York City lose this year?

At least 1
2.01x
At least 2
2.59x
$87,269 vol6 markets
Local

Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?

Yes
1.26x
No
4.13x
$35,659 vol1 market
Local

Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?

Yes
8.56x
No
1.05x
$40,719 vol1 market
Politics

New York City mayoral election winner?

Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani
Zohran Mamdani
1.52x
Brad Lander
Brad Lander
Brad Lander
9.41x
$2,495 vol12 markets
Local

Will NYC buses become free before 2027?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.03x
$29,217 vol1 market
Politics

Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?

Yes
8.56x
No
1.08x
$38,930 vol1 market
Politics

Will Mamdani run for re-election?

Yes
1.25x
No
3.52x
$1,085 vol1 market
Politics

Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average?

4.19 million
1.55x
4.65 million
8.56x
$13,176 vol2 markets
Local

NYC teachers’ aides paid the Respect Check before February?

Yes
3.18x
No
1.26x
$3 vol1 market
NYC

Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries this year?

Above 175 million
2.81x
Above 170 million
1.26x
$217 vol5 markets
NYC

What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?

At least 8.3 mph
2.59x
At least 8.2 mph
1.44x
$205 vol6 markets
NYC

What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?

Above 94,000
1.76x
Above 96,000
2.29x
$450 vol8 markets
NYC

How many new housing units will NYC permit this year?

Above 26,000
1.67x
Above 29,000
3.40x
$27 vol7 markets
NYC

NYPD uniformed headcount at the end of 2026?

Above 35,000
2.01x
Above 34,750
1.48x
$410 vol7 markets
NYC

How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?

Above 6,000
1.60x
Above 8,000
2.05x
$2 vol7 markets
NYC

Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?

Above 375 days
3.96x
Above 350 days
1.19x
$206 vol9 markets