Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElections

Politics

SportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive118AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE118
All markets
AI
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

NYC

Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

Will Mamdani raise property taxes?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.09x
$26,431 vol

NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?

Increase 0.01-0.99%
2.19x
No change or decrease 0–0.99%
2.52x
$90,665 vol

Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.03x
$25,091 vol

Will NYC buses become free before 2027?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.02x
$31,276 vol

Will NYC ban horse-drawn carriages this year?

Yes
--
No
23.4x
$170,584 vol

Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes this year?

Yes
46.8x
No
1.01x
$100,237 vol

Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (11/8 - 11/14)

Yes
5.90x
No
1.16x
$1,036 vol

Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.03x
$43,114 vol

Will the U.S. commit $15 billion to Sunnyside Yard?

Before Jan 1, 2028
3.52x
Before Jul 1, 2027
6.74x
$4,879 vol

NYC teachers’ aides paid the Respect Check before February?

Yes
3.08x
No
1.28x
$60 vol

Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.01x
$59,363 vol

NYC efficiency savings in FY2027?

Above $800 million
1.86x
Above $600 million
1.52x
$1,671 vol

Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?

Yes
1.31x
No
3.40x
$39,119 vol

Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.04x
$33,600 vol

Will Mamdani raise corporate taxes?

Before 2029
2.09x
Before 2030
2.19x
$110,949 vol

Will a court block NYC’s horse-carriage ban before 2028?

Yes
--
No
1.22x
$395 vol

How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?

Above 35,000
1.83x
Above 30,000
1.55x
$63 vol

When will Mamdani visit the White House?

Before Mar 1, 2027
2.24x
Before Jan 1, 2027
4.13x
$2,835 vol

Will Zohran Mamdani announce his departure as Mayor of New York City?

Before Jan 1, 2030
2.73x
Before Jan 1, 2029
5.56x
$18,747 vol

Will congestion pricing in NYC end before 2027?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.01x
$1,121 vol