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NYC
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Local
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Recurring
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Trump
Local
Will Mamdani tax billion-dollar incomes this year?
Yes
9.41
x
12
%
No
1.05
x
88
%
$71,965 vol
1 market
Politics
Will Mamdani endorse outside of New York?
Yes
10.4
x
7
%
No
1.07
x
93
%
$7,681 vol
1 market
Politics
Will NYC subway ridership reach its pre-Covid average?
4.19 million
1.60
x
56
%
4.65 million
8.56
x
11
%
$12,889 vol
2 markets
Politics
Will Zohran Mamdani become President of the United States before 2045?
Yes
7.85
x
10
%
No
1.09
x
90
%
$38,795 vol
1 market
NYC
Will Mamdani sign an executive order this week? (8/16 - 8/22)
Yes
46.8
x
2
%
No
1.01
x
98
%
$12,721 vol
1 market
Local
NYC population change (July 2025 – July 2027)?
Increase 0.01-0.99%
2.09
x
46
%
Decrease 0-0.99%
2.73
x
35
%
$85,205 vol
8 markets
Politics
How low will gas prices in New York get this year?
Below $2.70
15.6
x
1
%
Below $2.90
13.4
x
2
%
$14,593 vol
5 markets
Local
Will Mamdani establish universal child care before 2027?
Yes
7.25
x
6
%
No
1.06
x
94
%
$37,362 vol
1 market
Politics
How high will gas prices in New York get this year?
Above $4.80
2.73
x
35
%
Above $5.00
3.96
x
12
%
$70,153 vol
8 markets
Local
Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?
Yes
1.25
x
79
%
No
3.66
x
21
%
$35,085 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?
Yes
10.4
x
5
%
No
1.06
x
95
%
$18,217 vol
1 market
NYC
Will NYC’s rent freeze take effect on October 1?
Yes
1.05
x
92
%
No
8.56
x
8
%
$5,980 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani raise property taxes?
Yes
6.29
x
11
%
No
1.10
x
89
%
$14,825 vol
1 market
Local
Will NYC buses become free before 2027?
Yes
11.7
x
4
%
No
1.04
x
96
%
$28,924 vol
1 market
Local
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027?
Yes
9.41
x
6
%
No
1.05
x
94
%
$39,587 vol
1 market
NYC
Manhattan congestion-zone vehicle entries this year?
Above 175 million
2.89
x
30
%
Above 170 million
1.26
x
78
%
$181 vol
5 markets
NYC
What will NYC’s average weekday bus speed be in December 2026?
At least 8.2 mph
1.44
x
64
%
At least 8.3 mph
2.59
x
31
%
$205 vol
6 markets
NYC
What will NYC’s average daily shelter census be in December 2026?
Above 94,000
1.79
x
50
%
Above 96,000
2.34
x
37
%
$450 vol
8 markets
NYC
How many new housing units will NYC permit this year?
Above 26,000
1.67
x
54
%
Above 29,000
3.40
x
24
%
$2 vol
7 markets
NYC
NYPD uniformed headcount at the end of 2026?
Above 35,000
1.83
x
49
%
Above 34,750
1.42
x
66
%
$205 vol
7 markets
NYC
How many 2-K seats will NYC make available for 2027–28?
Above 6,000
1.65
x
56
%
Above 8,000
2.09
x
42
%
$2 vol
7 markets
NYC
Single adult NYC homeless shelter average stay in FY2027?
Above 375 days
4.13
x
20
%
Above 350 days
1.19
x
83
%
$206 vol
9 markets
NYC
How many N.Y.C. Groceries stores will open before 2029?
At least 5
1.67
x
55
%
At least 4
1.46
x
63
%
$0 vol
5 markets
Politics
NYC efficiency savings in FY2027?
Above $800 million
2.01
x
42
%
Above $600 million
1.55
x
59
%
$836 vol
5 markets