Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElections

Politics

SportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive123AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE123

AI

Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
All markets
AI
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump

Will any state enact a data center moratorium law?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.62x
Before Jan 1, 2027
3.08x
$10,459 vol

Which states will enact data center moratoriums before 2028?

Michigan
Michigan
1.93x
New Hampshire
New Hampshire
1.55x
$1,280 vol

Will the SCOTUS hear a case about AI and copyright law before 2027?

Yes
6.74x
No
1.08x
$13,509 vol

Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.01x
$20,949 vol

Will the US create a national AI regulator?

Before Jul 1, 2027
2.29x
Before Jan 1, 2028
1.36x
$3,192 vol

Will Anthropic and the Vatican meet?

Before Jul 1, 2027
2.19x
Before Jan 1, 2027
3.52x
$1,955 vol

When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.01x
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.98x
$15,304 vol

How many states will adopt data center moratoriums this year?

At least 5
2.14x
At least 4
1.38x
$57,453 vol

Will the US restrict access to Kimi this year?

Yes
5.90x
No
1.14x
$4,756 vol

Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?

Before Jan 1, 2028
1.62x
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.19x
$6,150 vol

Will LLM restrictions become law?

Before 2027
18.8x
Before 2028
1.01x
$60,340 vol

Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?

Before 2030
2.59x
Before 2029
2.98x
$10,061 vol

Will the U.S. take at least 1% stakes in both OpenAI and Anthropic?

Before Jan 20, 2029
1.86x
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.98x
$612 vol

Will Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.07x
$14,027 vol

Will DeepSeek be removed from the US App Store this year?

Yes
6.74x
No
1.05x
$0 vol

Will data center power-cost standards become law?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.76x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.89x
$12,158 vol

Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model this year?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.05x
$4,595 vol

Will the DOJ fine Nvidia over the Groq deal this year?

Yes
8.56x
No
1.03x
$2,487 vol

When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch?

Before Jan 1, 2028
3.18x
Before Jul 1, 2027
4.98x
$1,061 vol

FTC investigation into AI book destruction this year?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.09x
$6,514 vol

Will the FCC ban new Chinese data center transceivers?

Before Apr 1, 2027
1.70x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.52x
$127 vol

Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?

Before Apr 1, 2027
2.24x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.73x
$11,971 vol

When will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.05x
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.98x
$5,205 vol

Will Trump order mandatory pre-release federal review of AI models?

Yes
6.29x
No
1.08x
$13,403 vol