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International
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Frequency
All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Trump
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Apr 1, 2027
1.93
x
49
%
Before Jul 1, 2027
1.57
x
58
%
$41,901,698 vol
10 markets
International
Nobel Peace Prize winner
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
6.29
x
15
%
Yulia Navalnaya
8.56
x
11
%
$828,319 vol
21 markets
Elections
Which of these parties will win a Riksdag seat?
Örebropartiet
2.73
x
35
%
Liberals
3.96
x
16
%
$9,557 vol
2 markets
International
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Djibouti
4.73
x
14
%
Syria
5.90
x
17
%
$379,313 vol
11 markets
International
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Before January 20, 2029
3.85
x
21
%
Before 2027
25.0
x
4
%
$7,504,781 vol
2 markets
International
Which leaders will leave office this year?
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.05
x
47
%
Christopher Luxon
2.05
x
43
%
$8,835,308 vol
34 markets
Politics
Miguel Díaz-Canel departure announced?
Before December 1, 2026
6.29
x
11
%
Before November 1, 2026
7.25
x
5
%
$1,062,310 vol
4 markets
International
What countries will Trump visit this year?
Germany
3.29
x
30
%
Japan
4.51
x
19
%
$789,966 vol
21 markets
International
Will another country leave OPEC this year?
Yes
2.98
x
31
%
No
1.38
x
69
%
$19,893 vol
1 market
International
Will the US announce a Venezuelan oil field deal?
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.46
x
63
%
Before Oct 1, 2026
3.52
x
23
%
$863 vol
2 markets
International
Will the US acquire any new territory?
Before Jan 21, 2029
4.13
x
20
%
Before Jan 2028
5.25
x
15
%
$803,044 vol
3 markets
Trump
Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?
Yes
3.66
x
24
%
No
1.28
x
76
%
$10,751 vol
1 market
Politics
Where will Putin and Zelenskyy next meet?
Turkey
4.13
x
22
%
Switzerland
4.51
x
15
%
$28,380 vol
8 markets
International
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.13
x
89
%
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.07
x
96
%
$66,299 vol
2 markets
Trump
Which countries will Trump make formal trade deals with this year?
Argentina
5.56
x
23
%
India
5.25
x
12
%
$10,039 vol
9 markets
Trump
Will Trump take back the Panama Canal?
Yes
3.66
x
23
%
No
1.28
x
77
%
$586,721 vol
1 market
International
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela?
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.98
x
25
%
Before Oct 1, 2026
5.56
x
13
%
$24,353 vol
2 markets
International
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2030
2.24
x
43
%
Before Jan 1, 2029
2.98
x
32
%
$483,854 vol
4 markets
Politics
Where will Trump and Putin next meet?
China
1.97
x
50
%
Turkey
10.4
x
9
%
$44,307 vol
10 markets
International
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Before Jun 1, 2027
1.55
x
65
%
Before Jan 1, 2027
5.25
x
17
%
$949,629 vol
7 markets
International
Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.34
x
66
%
Before Oct 1, 2026
2.52
x
39
%
$14,126 vol
2 markets
Trump
Which USMCA outcomes will occur this year?
U.S.–Mexico interim agreement
2.46
x
69
%
Trilateral revised deal
2.81
x
25
%
$10,582 vol
8 markets
Local
When will Ottawa’s Trump Avenue be renamed?
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.09
x
41
%
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.66
x
35
%
$218 vol
2 markets
Sports
Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?
Yes
3.08
x
28
%
No
1.36
x
72
%
$607,086 vol
1 market