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International
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All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Trump
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
Before Jan 1, 2028
1.73
x
55
%
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.19
x
43
%
$43,600,344 vol
9 markets
International
Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.06
x
93
%
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.03
x
97
%
$256,804 vol
2 markets
International
Which leaders will leave office this year?
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.05
x
47
%
Christopher Luxon
2.01
x
48
%
$9,003,800 vol
34 markets
International
Nobel Peace Prize winner
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
8.56
x
8
%
Save the Children
7.85
x
12
%
$1,021,318 vol
24 markets
International
When will Wales call a snap election?
Before Jul 1, 2027
4.73
x
18
%
Before Jan 1, 2028
4.98
x
15
%
$5,461 vol
2 markets
International
Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?
Before Jan 1, 2030
2.14
x
44
%
Before Jan 1, 2029
3.40
x
28
%
$492,085 vol
4 markets
International
Will Xi meet a major US AI CEO this month?
Yes
1.19
x
82
%
No
5.25
x
18
%
$2,187 vol
1 market
International
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Before January 20, 2029
5.88
x
14
%
Before 2027
33.3
x
3
%
$7,542,375 vol
2 markets
Sports
Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?
Yes
5.25
x
18
%
No
1.16
x
82
%
$618,128 vol
1 market
International
When will Canada gain EU associate status?
Before 2028
2.34
x
42
%
Before 2029
1.50
x
65
%
$3,181 vol
2 markets
International
Which G7 leader will leave office next?
Emmanuel Macron
1.42
x
67
%
Friedrich Merz
2.89
x
43
%
$21,241 vol
7 markets
International
What countries will Trump visit this year?
Japan
4.73
x
19
%
Israel
5.25
x
16
%
$804,101 vol
21 markets
International
Will China announce a new Boeing aircraft order this month?
Yes
1.48
x
68
%
No
2.66
x
32
%
$487 vol
1 market
International
Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands?
Yes
4.51
x
40
%
No
1.13
x
60
%
$1,164 vol
1 market
International
Will Navitas face formal prosecution over Sea Lion?
Yes
2.01
x
88
%
No
1.65
x
12
%
$414 vol
1 market
Elections
Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?
Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
1.20
x
80
%
Christine Fréchette
4.73
x
19
%
$3,404 vol
5 markets
International
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Belize
8.56
x
11
%
Djibouti
7.25
x
13
%
$396,887 vol
11 markets
International
Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
Before Jan 20, 2029
2.73
x
35
%
Before 2027
5.90
x
16
%
$566,470 vol
2 markets
Trump
When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.48
x
49
%
Before Dec 1, 2026
1.18
x
62
%
$6,175 vol
4 markets
International
When will Dominic LeBlanc and Jamieson Greer meet?
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.76
x
40
%
Before Dec 1, 2026
3.18
x
25
%
$205 vol
4 markets
International
Will China announce looser rare-earth export curbs to the U.S. this month?
Yes
1.44
x
19
%
No
2.29
x
81
%
$200 vol
1 market
International
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
Before Jun 1, 2027
2.46
x
39
%
Before Jan 31, 2028
1.36
x
71
%
$982,752 vol
6 markets
International
Will the US acquire any new territory?
Before Jan 21, 2029
4.13
x
20
%
Before Jan 2028
5.56
x
16
%
$806,795 vol
3 markets
International
Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?
Before Jan 1, 2027
3.80
x
24
%
Before Dec 1, 2026
4.73
x
20
%
$153 vol
4 markets