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Politics

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Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?

Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Before September 1, 20262.59x
Before July 1, 20262.98x
$19,548,653 vol4 markets

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Before January 20, 20293.23x
Before 20276.67x
$5,870,677 vol3 markets

Keir Starmer Out?

Keir Starmer Out?
Before Jul 1, 20262.01x
Before Sep 1, 20261.73x
$506,282 vol4 markets

World leaders out this year?

World leaders out this year?
Ali Khamenei
Ali Khamenei1.83x
Viktor Orbán
Viktor Orbán1.79x
$4,946,089 vol37 markets

Who will be Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2026 election?

Who will be Prime Minister of Hungary after the 2026 election?
Péter Magyar
Péter Magyar1.83x
Viktor Orbán
Viktor Orbán2.09x
$149,744 vol2 markets

Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?

Who will officially lead Venezuela on June 1?
Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez1.33x
2+ people
2+ people10.4x
$163,409 vol15 markets

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?

Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
Angela Rayner
Angela Rayner3.18x
Wes Streeting
Wes Streeting4.31x
$269,766 vol20 markets

Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?

Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?
Yes1.29x
No3.66x
$190,780 vol1 market

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?
Before January 21, 20292.24x
Before 20275.56x
$3,021,350 vol3 markets

US-Iran nuclear deal?

US-Iran nuclear deal?
Before 20272.46x
Before August2.81x
$125,593 vol3 markets

Brazil Presidential election winner?

Brazil Presidential election winner?
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva1.76x
Flávio Bolsonaro
Flávio Bolsonaro3.08x
$423,304 vol12 markets

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?
Yes3.96x
No1.28x
$177,603 vol1 market

Who will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Who will lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Delcy Rodríguez
Delcy Rodríguez1.52x
María Corina Machado
María Corina Machado5.90x
$3,615,620 vol18 markets

Miguel Díaz-Canel out?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out?
Before June 1, 20261.97x
Before September 1, 20261.70x
$138,717 vol5 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?
Yes5.25x
No1.19x
$269,957 vol1 market

Will the UK ban Grok before March?

Will the UK ban Grok before March?
Yes15.6x
No1.05x
$102,064 vol1 market

Who will the next Pope be?

Who will the next Pope be?
Luis Antonio Tagle10.4x
Pietro Parolin10.4x
$33,889 vol7 markets

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz this year?

Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz this year?
Yes2.98x
No1.42x
$147,840 vol1 market

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Will the US acquire any new territory?
Before Jan 21, 20292.09x
Before Jan 20282.59x
$496,369 vol5 markets

Who will be the Prime Minister of Japan after their snap election?

Who will be the Prime Minister of Japan after their snap election?
Sanae Takaichi--
Fumitake Fujita93.5x
$55,873 vol10 markets

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?
Before Jan 20, 20291.60x
Before 20272.81x
$248,253 vol3 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?
Yes2.98x
No1.42x
$151,452 vol1 market

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Colombia
Colombia1.44x
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia4.73x
$140,160 vol11 markets

When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?

When will Venezuela hold a presidential election?
Before Jun 1, 20271.57x
Before Jan 1, 20272.66x
$148,846 vol5 markets