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International

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Trump

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Jan 1, 2028
1.73x
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.19x
$43,600,344 vol9 markets
International

Will Xi Jinping visit the United States?

Before Oct 1, 2026
1.06x
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.03x
$256,804 vol2 markets
International

Which leaders will leave office this year?

Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.05x
Christopher Luxon
Christopher Luxon
Christopher Luxon
2.01x
$9,003,800 vol34 markets
International

Nobel Peace Prize winner

Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
Doctors Without Borders (Médecins Sans Frontières)
8.56x
Save the Children
Save the Children
Save the Children
7.85x
$1,021,318 vol24 markets
International

When will Wales call a snap election?

Before Jul 1, 2027
4.73x
Before Jan 1, 2028
4.98x
$5,461 vol2 markets
International

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Before Jan 1, 2030
2.14x
Before Jan 1, 2029
3.40x
$492,085 vol4 markets
International

Will Xi meet a major US AI CEO this month?

Yes
1.19x
No
5.25x
$2,187 vol1 market
International

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Before January 20, 2029
5.88x
Before 2027
33.3x
$7,542,375 vol2 markets
Sports

Will the 2026 Pro Football champs visit the White House?

Yes
5.25x
No
1.16x
$618,128 vol1 market
International

When will Canada gain EU associate status?

Before 2028
2.34x
Before 2029
1.50x
$3,181 vol2 markets
International

Which G7 leader will leave office next?

Emmanuel Macron
1.42x
Friedrich Merz
2.89x
$21,241 vol7 markets
International

What countries will Trump visit this year?

Japan
Japan
Japan
4.73x
Israel
Israel
Israel
5.25x
$804,101 vol21 markets
International

Will China announce a new Boeing aircraft order this month?

Yes
1.48x
No
2.66x
$487 vol1 market
International

Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands?

Yes
4.51x
No
1.13x
$1,164 vol1 market
International

Will Navitas face formal prosecution over Sea Lion?

Yes
2.01x
No
1.65x
$414 vol1 market
Elections

Who will be Premier of Quebec after the 2026 election?

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon
1.20x
Christine Fréchette
4.73x
$3,404 vol5 markets
International

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Belize
Belize
Belize
8.56x
Djibouti
Djibouti
Djibouti
7.25x
$396,887 vol11 markets
International

Will Zelenskyy and Putin speak?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.73x
Before 2027
5.90x
$566,470 vol2 markets
Trump

When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?

Before Nov 1, 2026
1.48x
Before Dec 1, 2026
1.18x
$6,175 vol4 markets
International

When will Dominic LeBlanc and Jamieson Greer meet?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.76x
Before Dec 1, 2026
3.18x
$205 vol4 markets
International

Will China announce looser rare-earth export curbs to the U.S. this month?

Yes
1.44x
No
2.29x
$200 vol1 market
International

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

Before Jun 1, 2027
2.46x
Before Jan 31, 2028
1.36x
$982,752 vol6 markets
International

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 2029
4.13x
Before Jan 2028
5.56x
$806,795 vol3 markets
International

Will the U.S. and China announce an AI safety agreement?

Before Jan 1, 2027
3.80x
Before Dec 1, 2026
4.73x
$153 vol4 markets