Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland? Odds & Predictions
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
Chance
Before Jul 1, 2026
0.4%
â–¼ 0.1
Before Jul 1, 2026
0.4%
â–¼ 0.1
Before 2027
7.2%
Before 2027
7.2%
Before January 20, 2029
During Trump's term
22%
â–¼ 3
Before January 20, 2029
During Trump's term
22%
â–¼ 3
1 more
Market Rules
Before Jul 1, 2026
If the United States purchases at least part of Greenland from Denmark before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from The New York Times.
Timeline and payout
Market openFeb 20, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jul 1, 2026 at 10:00am EDT.
SeriesKXGREENLAND
EventKXGREENLAND-29
MarketKXGREENLAND-29-26JUL
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.