MARKETSPERPSLIVE68
Cash
Portfolio
TrendingElections

Politics

CultureSportsCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive68AccountSocial

Iran

Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
All markets
Congress
Foreign Elections
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Iran

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 25
2.19x
Above 22
1.36x
$265,753 vol12 markets
Iran

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 5
1.55x
Above 6
2.52x
$20,562 vol7 markets
Iran

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.29x
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.59x
$22,206,056 vol7 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/12 - 10/18)

Above 25
2.59x
Above 20
1.26x
$7,620 vol11 markets
Iran

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/5 - 10/11)

Above 5
1.50x
Above 6
3.40x
$109,959 vol7 markets
Iran

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/12 - 10/18)

October 12
6.29x
October 13
6.29x
$4,142 vol7 markets
Iran

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/5 - 10/11)

October 7
2.81x
October 5
3.66x
$64,085 vol7 markets
Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.05x
$2,095,886 vol1 market
Iran

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)

At least 10
2.46x
At least 8
1.36x
$4,882 vol8 markets
Iran

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get this year?

Above 30
3.80x
Above 40
4.73x
$192,337 vol10 markets
Iran

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Yes
46.8x
No
1.02x
$1,641,561 vol1 market
Iran

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Jan 1, 2027
2.19x
Before Dec 1, 2026
3.66x
$37,865 vol3 markets
Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?

Yes
33.3x
No
1.02x
$1,901,135 vol1 market
Iran

Will Iran become a democracy this year?

Yes
33.3x
No
1.01x
$319,807 vol1 market
Iran

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.02x
$308,992 vol1 market
Iran

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.04x
$1,049,291 vol1 market