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Iran

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Iran

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)

Above 20
2.01x
Above 15
1.07x
$44,508 vol11 markets
Iran

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.89x
Before Jan 1, 2028
4.98x
$20,534,978 vol8 markets
Iran

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.05x
$1,021,906 vol1 market
Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.05x
$1,625,678 vol1 market
Politics

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get this year?

Above 30
2.01x
Above 40
3.66x
$147,239 vol10 markets
Iran

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)

Above 5
1.08x
Above 10
2.89x
$2,178 vol6 markets
Politics

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)

At least 10
1.62x
At least 15
3.96x
$7,516 vol8 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)

Above 25
2.24x
Above 20
1.33x
$1,049 vol11 markets
Iran

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)

Above 5
1.20x
Above 10
23.4x
$8,431 vol6 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/31 - 9/6)

Above 200
1.86x
Above 225
23.4x
$1,813 vol5 markets
Finance

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?

Yes
25.0x
No
1.03x
$1,831,515 vol1 market
Iran

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.02x
$1,575,476 vol1 market
Iran

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/31 - 9/6)

August 31
1.08x
September 6
1.03x
$395 vol7 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/7 - 9/13)

Above 280
1.04x
Above 300
1.04x
$212 vol5 markets
Iran

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.02x
$295,953 vol1 market
Iran

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/31 - 9/6)

Above 290
1.05x
Above 300
1.25x
$1,282 vol5 markets
Politics

Will Iran become a democracy this year?

Yes
25.0x
No
1.01x
$304,431 vol1 market
Iran

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/7 - 9/13)

September 7
4.98x
September 8
4.98x
$0 vol7 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)

Above 200
1.86x
Above 175
1.12x
$232 vol5 markets