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All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.59x
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.89x
$23,115,445 vol

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 23
2.05x
Above 25
2.52x
$167,787 vol

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)

Above 6
2.19x
Above 5
1.38x
$42,781 vol

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Before Jul 1, 2027
10.4x
Before Jan 1, 2027
31.2x
$1,671,348 vol

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Feb 1, 2027
1.70x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.24x
$46,983 vol

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get this year?

Above 30
4.98x
Above 40
6.29x
$206,561 vol

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.04x
$2,170,088 vol

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Before 2028
3.80x
Before 2027
46.8x
$319,822 vol

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?

Yes
25.0x
No
1.03x
$1,987,478 vol

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.05x
$1,061,350 vol

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/26 - 11/1)

October 29
3.66x
October 30
5.56x
$28,322 vol

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (October 2026)

At least 10
3.80x
At least 9
5.90x
$24,743 vol

Will the U.S. and Iran hold a China-mediated meeting before Feb 1, 2027?

Yes
5.25x
No
1.12x
$206 vol

Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.03x
$29,283 vol

Will Iran become a democracy this year?

Yes
50.0x
No
1.01x
$326,055 vol