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Iran

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Iran

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.98x
Before Jan 1, 2028
3.66x
$20,399,267 vol9 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 30
2.24x
Above 35
5.56x
$66,898 vol11 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)

Above 30
1.79x
Above 25
1.25x
$1,124 vol11 markets
Iran

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.06x
$1,014,379 vol1 market
Iran

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/24 - 8/30)

August 27
1.70x
August 29
6.29x
$977 vol7 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 300
2.29x
Above 290
1.19x
$9,487 vol5 markets
Politics

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (August 2026)

At least 50
46.8x
At least 30
46.8x
$60,136 vol8 markets
Iran

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.02x
$1,565,546 vol1 market
Iran

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 10
3.80x
Above 15
13.4x
$19,378 vol6 markets
Politics

Will Iran become a democracy this year?

Yes
33.3x
No
1.01x
$302,327 vol1 market
Iran

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/31 - 9/6)

Above 200
1.40x
Above 225
3.29x
$83 vol5 markets
Iran

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 200
1.83x
Above 225
6.74x
$2,081 vol5 markets
Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.05x
$1,597,105 vol1 market
Iran

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (8/24 - 8/30)

Above 225
3.29x
Above 200
1.22x
$2,163 vol5 markets
Finance

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?

Yes
25.0x
No
1.03x
$1,823,100 vol1 market
Iran

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (8/31 - 9/6)

Above 300
2.59x
Above 290
1.42x
$28 vol5 markets
Iran

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Before 2027
23.4x
Before September 2026
93.5x
$294,592 vol2 markets
Iran

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (8/31 - 9/6)

Above 10
1.44x
Above 5
1.07x
$0 vol6 markets
Iran

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/31 - 9/6)

September 5
4.73x
September 6
4.73x
$0 vol7 markets
Politics

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get this year?

Above 40
2.81x
Above 50
3.80x
$120,402 vol9 markets
Politics

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)

At least 10
--
At least 15
--
8 markets