MARKETSPERPSLIVE142
Cash
Portfolio
TrendingElections

Politics

CultureSportsCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive142AccountSocial
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

Iran

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Iran

US-Iran nuclear deal?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.89x
Before Jan 1, 2028
3.80x
$20,990,862 vol8 markets
Politics

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)

Above 20
1.73x
Above 25
4.31x
$180,432 vol11 markets
Politics

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)

Above 200
1.55x
Above 225
3.96x
$13,055 vol5 markets
Politics

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/14 - 9/20)

Above 5
1.42x
Above 10
10.4x
$57,892 vol6 markets
Iran

Will Reza Pahlavi visit Iran this year?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.06x
$1,880,255 vol1 market
Politics

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)

Above 30
3.18x
Above 25
1.31x
$6,560 vol11 markets
Politics

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/14 - 9/20)

Above 175
3.08x
Above 150
1.28x
$19,907 vol5 markets
Politics

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/21 - 9/27)

September 22
3.80x
September 21
5.25x
$2,439 vol7 markets
Politics

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/21 - 9/27)

Above 200
2.40x
Above 175
1.50x
$2,238 vol5 markets
Politics

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/21 - 9/27)

Above 10
4.51x
Above 5
1.10x
$1,250 vol6 markets
Iran

Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran this year?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.05x
$1,040,697 vol1 market
Politics

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)

Above 200
1.50x
Above 175
1.04x
$39,762 vol5 markets
Politics

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (September 2026)

At least 10
5.56x
At least 15
10.4x
$14,857 vol7 markets
Politics

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/14 - 9/20)

September 18
4.13x
September 20
4.98x
$23,826 vol7 markets
Politics

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/14 - 9/20)

Above 290
1.70x
Above 300
3.40x
$5,287 vol5 markets
Finance

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?

Yes
25.0x
No
1.03x
$1,855,458 vol1 market
Politics

Will Iran become a democracy this year?

Yes
25.0x
No
1.01x
$308,069 vol1 market
Iran

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.01x
$1,591,632 vol1 market
Iran

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.03x
$299,659 vol1 market
Politics

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (9/21 - 9/27)

Above 270
1.86x
Above 280
2.52x
$0 vol5 markets
Politics

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get this year?

Above 30
3.52x
Above 40
4.51x
$169,813 vol10 markets