If Iran's score in the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy Index is at least 6.00 as published in the EIU Democracy Index 2026 report, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from The Economist.
Timeline and payout
Market openMar 1, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closesMar 1, 2027 · 9:59am EST
Projected payoutMay 30, 2027 · 11:30am EDT
SeriesKXIRANDEMOCRACY
EventKXIRANDEMOCRACY-27MAR01
MarketKXIRANDEMOCRACY-27MAR01-T6
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Will Iran become a democracy this year? Odds & Predictions 2026