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Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 330
3.29x
Above 320
1.33x
$121,656 vol

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 23
2.52x
Above 20
1.46x
$344,590 vol

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 185
1.93x
Above 180
1.46x
$126,680 vol

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Oct 1, 2027
1.93x
Before Nov 1, 2027
1.86x
$48,845,571 vol

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 205
2.52x
Above 200
1.50x
$132,639 vol

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/9 - 11/15)

November 15
3.96x
November 14
4.98x
$41,379 vol

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 5
1.79x
Above 6
2.66x
$119,365 vol

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/16 - 11/22)

Above 200
1.12x
Above 195
1.10x
$798 vol

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22)

Above 27
1.86x
Above 25
1.60x
$600 vol

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/16 - 11/22)

Above 310
2.24x
Above 300
1.44x
$470 vol

Strait of Hormuz: highest single-day traffic (November 2026)

At least 9
2.19x
At least 8
1.29x
$13,835 vol

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get this year?

Above 30
8.56x
Above 40
9.41x
$229,012 vol

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22)

Above 190
1.76x
Above 195
2.52x
$250 vol

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (11/16 - 11/22)

Above 6
1.73x
Above 7
2.52x
$0 vol

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (11/16 - 11/22)

November 20
3.80x
November 16
4.98x
$0 vol

Hormuz traffic × July 2027 gas price

Hormuz traffic: Back to normal, Gas price: $3.40 to $3.79
1.18x
Hormuz traffic: Back to normal, Gas price: $3.80 to $4.19
1.12x
$0 vol