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Trump

Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

LIVE
Yair Lapid
Yair Lapid
2.46x
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu
11.7x
$108,402 vol

Who will be Israeli justice minister after the election?

LIVE
Chili Tropper
Chili Tropper
6.74x
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
Orit Farkash-Hacohen
8.56x
$45,995 vol

Will the US reopen its embassy in Syria?

Before 2028
1.73x
Before 2027
9.41x
$43,276 vol

Who will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Italy
Italy
11.7x
Germany
Germany
13.4x
$101,810 vol

Will Netanyahu and Eisenkot form a unity government?

Before Jul 1, 2027
3.18x
Before Feb 1, 2027
4.51x
$347 vol

Who will be Israeli national security minister after the election?

LIVE
Yoram Cohen
Yoram Cohen
5.25x
Yair Golan
Yair Golan
7.25x
$86,793 vol

Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?

LIVE
Avigdor Lieberman
Avigdor Lieberman
3.66x
Naftali Bennett
Naftali Bennett
6.29x
$11,046 vol

Will another country leave OPEC this year?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.04x
$29,399 vol

Who will be Israeli interior minister after the election?

LIVE
Michael Malchieli
Michael Malchieli
18.8x
Yoav Ben-Tzur
Yoav Ben-Tzur
18.8x
$48,687 vol

When will the Knesset elect a Speaker?

LIVE
Before Nov 18, 2026
1.09x
Before Dec 1, 2026
1.02x
$1,022 vol

Will the U.S.–Saudi nuclear cooperation agreement enter into force?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.09x
$14,832 vol

Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics?

Before Jul 1, 2027
3.96x
Before Jan 1, 2027
31.2x
$11,564 vol

Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume?

Before Apr 1, 2027
4.13x
Before Jan 1, 2027
9.41x
$11,473 vol

Will Venezuela exit OPEC?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.34x
Before Jul 1, 2027
3.66x
$2 vol

Will the Israeli parliament be dissolved?

Before Jan 1, 2028
1.73x
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.09x
$0 vol

Israel Katz departure announced?

Yes
1.76x
No
1.79x
$10,731 vol

Will Kanye West / Ye visit Israel this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.02x
$59,827 vol

Will Israel enact term limits for its prime minister?

Yes
3.66x
No
1.22x
$0 vol

How many new countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2028?

At least 2
2.66x
At least 3
3.80x
$2,642 vol

Who will be Israeli health minister after the election?

LIVE
Yaakov Asher
Yaakov Asher
10.4x
Uriel Buso
Uriel Buso
10.4x
$1,447 vol

Who will be Israeli finance minister after the election?

LIVE
Avigdor Lieberman
Avigdor Lieberman
4.98x
Naftali Bennett
Naftali Bennett
5.90x
$86,400 vol

When will the Knesset approve a new government?

Before Dec 23, 2026
2.40x
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.38x
$4,976 vol

Will Netanyahu be arrested?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.04x
$125,360 vol

Will Israel and Syria normalize relations during Trump’s term?

Yes
6.74x
No
1.08x
$39,694 vol