Will another country leave OPEC this year?
Will another country leave OPEC this year?
$13,486 vol
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
If any member state of OPEC announces they are leaving the organization before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The Washington Post, Deutsche Welle, Financial Times, France 24 English, The Guardian, NBC News, The Times of India, Fox News, CBS News, ABC News, The Wall Street Journal, NHK World-Japan, CNN, The New York Times, BBC News, The Globe and Mail, Al Jazeera English, the Associated Press, Reuters, The South China Morning Post, Politico, Channel NewsAsia, and Bloomberg News.
An agreement or announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following:
- Formal signing of treaties
- Parliamentary approval with binding effect
- Official ratification
- Formal commitment by the head of state/government with constitutional authority
- Official statements by authorized ministers
- Official press releases
- Formal declarations during government proceedings
- Official statements to international bodies
Phased implementation announcements and multi-party agreements where the country is a signatory also qualify.
The following do NOT qualify:
- Preliminary discussions
- Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances
- Opposition party statements
- Leaked documents
- Think-tank recommendations
- General aspirations without specific commitment
- Draft legislation without approval
- Regional actions (unless specified)
- Retraction of previously announced commitments
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 28, 2026 · 11:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXLEAVEOPEC
EventKXLEAVEOPEC-27
MarketKXLEAVEOPEC-27
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.