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Which countries will normalize relations with Israel 2026? Odds & Predictions
Politics
·
International
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Politics
·
International
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Chance
Colombia
81%
▼ 7
Yes
87¢
No
19¢
Colombia
81%
▼ 7
Yes
87¢
No
19¢
Lebanon
15%
Yes
15¢
No
86¢
Lebanon
15%
Yes
15¢
No
86¢
Saudi Arabia
13%
▲ 1
Yes
15¢
No
87¢
Saudi Arabia
13%
▲ 1
Yes
15¢
No
87¢
10 more
Market Rules
Colombia
Resolves Yes if
Israel and Colombia normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027
.
Outcome verified from
The New York Times
and
Israel
.
The agreement must be ratified before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion.
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Nov 6, 2025 · 2:30pm EST
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00am EST.
Series
KXABRAHAMSA
Event
KXABRAHAMSA-27
Market
KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-COLO
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$313,428 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL