Which countries will normalize relations with Israel 2026? Odds & Predictions
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?
Chance
Market Rules
Colombia
If Israel and Colombia normalize diplomatic relations before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from The New York Times and Israel.
The agreement must be ratified before Jan 1, 2027 to be included within the Payout Criterion.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 6, 2025 · 2:30pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesKXABRAHAMSA
EventKXABRAHAMSA-27
MarketKXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-COLO
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.