Skip to main content

Cash

Trending Midterms Elections

Politics

Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Predict Live82 AccountSocial

MARKETS INVEST LIVE82

Asia & Pacific

Product

Kalshi Pro Invest Markets Incentive program Small business hedging Institutions API & developers

Company

About Kalshi Research Blog Careers Policy Center Brand Kit

Help

Help Center FAQ Prediction markets Fee schedule Trading hours Regulatory Trust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved

Privacy Data Terms of Service Trading Prohibitions FAQ for Finance Professionals

Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

Israel & Middle East

Russia & Ukraine

Global institutions

Global & shipping

SCOTUS & courts

Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

Who will be named as Xi Jinping’s successor?

Ding Xuexiang

5.90x

Chen Jining

11.7x

$43,509 vol

Sara Duterte out as Vice President of the Philippines?

Yes

1.48x

No

2.24x

$17,605 vol

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Before Jan 1, 2030

2.81x

Before Jan 1, 2029

2.81x

$511,781 vol

When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan?

Before 2029

5.25x

Before 2030

5.90x

$58,852 vol

Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump’s term?

Yes

7.85x

No

1.09x

$18,774 vol

Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India?

Yes

4.98x

No

1.10x

$6,246 vol

Will the U.S. and China sign a new AI agreement before 2027?

Yes

6.29x

No

1.15x

$223 vol

Will China abolish hukou?

Before 2028

11.7x

Before 2029

9.41x

$7,461 vol

Which companies will be added to the Pentagon’s Chinese military companies list?

DeepSeek

3.18x

Moonshot AI

3.29x

$2,512 vol

Will the US and China extend their trade truce again?

Before Jan 1, 2027

1.55x

Before Dec 1, 2026

4.13x

$0 vol

Will the U.S. recognize Taiwan?

Before Jan 20, 2029

5.25x

Before Jan 1, 2028

7.85x

$40,868 vol

Will New Zealand enact an under-16 social media ban?

Yes

1.02x

No

2.98x

$2,768 vol

Narendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?

Before Jan 1, 2029

2.46x

Before Jul 1, 2028

3.66x

$2,077 vol

Will Lai Ching-te visit the United States?

Before Jul 1, 2027

6.29x

Before Jan 1, 2027

13.4x

$801 vol

Will India resume the Indus Waters Treaty?

Yes

13.4x

No

1.02x

$7,307 vol

Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?

Yes

1.67x

No

2.05x

$24,992 vol

Will China unban Bitcoin?

Before 2030

6.74x

Before 2029

7.85x

$1,473 vol

Will China approve extra central government bonds of at least 1 trillion yuan?

Yes

5.90x

No

1.07x

$0 vol

Will China obtain an EUV machine?

Before Jan 1, 2029

1.65x

Before Jan 1, 2030

1.33x

$2,092 vol

Will China abolish birth limits?

Before 2030

1.60x

Before 2029

2.34x

$3,860 vol

Will Papua New Guinea ratify Bougainville independence?

Before Jan 1, 2028

3.52x

Before Jan 1, 2027

6.74x

$15,632 vol

Will Australia’s Parliament pass the EU free trade deal?

Yes

2.98x

No

1.29x

$0 vol