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Congress

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Congress

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.05x
$317,191 vol1 market
Congress

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Oct 1, 2027
2.05x
Before Jan 1, 2028
1.65x
$6,770,134 vol9 markets
Congress

When will the House leave for its pre-election recess?

Before Sep 26, 2026
4.13x
Before Oct 2, 2026
1.16x
$20,815 vol5 markets
Politics

Next DCCC chair?

Jamie Raskin
15.6x
Ted Lieu
13.4x
$34,534 vol9 markets
Congress

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.03x
$12,780,913 vol1 market
Politics

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.05x
$2,762,223 vol1 market
Congress

How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House?

Above 300
2.01x
Above 275
1.65x
$21,142 vol7 markets
Congress

Will Trump restrict SNAP benefits?

Yes
9.41x
No
1.08x
$38,903 vol1 market
Congress

Which bills will become law this year?

College sports federalization
2.52x
Export-control chip security
3.08x
$776,750 vol30 markets
Congress

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

Yes
93.5x
No
--
$1,056,660 vol1 market
Congress

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027
13.4x
Before Dec 1, 2026
18.8x
$3,898,957 vol5 markets
Congress

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Before Jan 1, 2027
2.19x
Before Oct 1, 2026
5.56x
$755,787 vol3 markets
Congress

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Mike Lee
3.40x
Ruben Gallego
3.40x
$28,614 vol12 markets
Congress

Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?

Before Nov 1, 2026
1.97x
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.52x
$47,422 vol3 markets
Politics

How many government shutdowns this year?

2
1.52x
3
2.66x
$54,746 vol4 markets
Congress

When will government-wide funding become law?

Before Sep 11, 2026
1.67x
Before Sep 18, 2026
1.25x
$15,753 vol9 markets
Congress

Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.12x
$342,752 vol1 market
Congress

Will LLM restrictions become law this year?

Yes
6.29x
No
1.13x
$56,445 vol1 market
Congress

Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?

On Dec 10, 2026
1.29x
On Mar 13, 2027
1.28x
$13,440 vol4 markets
Congress

Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.13x
Before Sep 1, 2027
3.13x
$3,066,361 vol5 markets
Congress

When will the US House censure another member?

Before Oct 2026
1.12x
Before Nov 2026
1.07x
$6,903 vol4 markets
Congress

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 2029
2.34x
Before 2027
13.4x
$289,048 vol2 markets
Congress

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Above 55
2.98x
Above 58
3.40x
$34,654 vol8 markets
Congress

Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.14x
Before Jan 1, 2028
4.51x
$114,612 vol3 markets