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Congress

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Congress

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.05x
Before Oct 1, 2027
2.24x
$7,994,058 vol8 markets
Politics

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.07x
$3,227,532 vol1 market
Congress

Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.13x
Before Sep 1, 2027
3.13x
$3,089,512 vol4 markets
Congress

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027
15.6x
Before Dec 1, 2026
18.8x
$4,014,103 vol4 markets
Congress

Will a cabinet member be impeached?

Before 2028
1.31x
Before Jan 20, 2029
1.26x
$194,485 vol3 markets
Congress

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes
23.4x
No
1.04x
$13,288,363 vol1 market
Congress

Which bills will become law this year?

College sports federalization
2.59x
AI-chip export licensing
3.18x
$793,215 vol30 markets
Congress

Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?

Before Jan 1, 2028
1.73x
Before Aug 1, 2027
2.24x
$152,319 vol5 markets
Congress

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Above 50
2.81x
Above 55
2.81x
$48,590 vol8 markets
Congress

Will the filibuster be weakened?

Before January 20, 2029
3.08x
Before 2028
4.98x
$151,171 vol3 markets
Congress

Will a GOP member of Congress call for Trump’s impeachment?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.01x
Before 2028
2.40x
$181,589 vol3 markets
Congress

Will new tariffs become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027
2.73x
Before Nov 1, 2026
3.80x
$36,729 vol2 markets
Congress

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Before Jan 1, 2027
2.24x
Before Oct 1, 2026
18.8x
$769,848 vol2 markets
Congress

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Mike Lee
3.18x
Angela Alsobrooks
3.96x
$33,157 vol12 markets
Congress

When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?

Before Oct 1, 2026
1.05x
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.03x
$1,285,182 vol2 markets
Politics

119th Congress legislative combo

Legislating combo
11.7x
Dysfunction combo
93.5x
$35,683 vol2 markets
Congress

Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.73x
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.73x
$119,964 vol3 markets
Congress

How many votes will a Russia sanctions bill receive in the House?

Above 250
2.73x
Above 275
3.40x
$23,701 vol7 markets
Trump

Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.90x
Before Nov 3, 2026
6.74x
$26,516 vol2 markets
Congress

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Yes
46.8x
No
--
$751,074 vol1 market
Congress

When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

Before Aug 1, 2027
1.70x
Before Apr 1, 2027
1.67x
$13,100 vol5 markets
Congress

Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law this year?

Yes
2.34x
No
1.57x
$27,647 vol1 market
Congress

Who will switch or leave their party this year?

Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene
4.31x
John Fetterman
John Fetterman
John Fetterman
5.90x
$164,115 vol6 markets
Congress

When will a reconciliation bill pass the Senate?

Before Jan 1, 2027
2.73x
Before Dec 1, 2026
3.96x
$9,468 vol4 markets