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Congress

All markets
Congress
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Growth
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Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Trump

How many times will Trump be impeached in his second term?

At least 1
1.42x
At least 2
5.25x
$12,765 vol4 markets
Congress

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
5.25x
Before Oct 1, 2027
4.98x
$10,168,134 vol7 markets
Trump

How many articles will Trump be impeached on in his second term?

At least 2
2.14x
At least 1
1.55x
$3,513 vol6 markets
Congress

Which bills will become law this year?

Protect College Sports Act
2.29x
ADS-B revenue-use restriction
3.08x
$830,704 vol30 markets
Congress

Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.09x
$363,433 vol1 market
Congress

Will the cap on gambling loss deduction be repealed?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.13x
Before Sep 1, 2027
2.56x
$3,181,466 vol4 markets
Congress

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes
46.8x
No
1.02x
$14,166,796 vol1 market
Congress

Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.40x
Before Jan 1, 2028
3.96x
$139,208 vol3 markets
Congress

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Rand Paul
11.7x
Josh Hawley
8.56x
$58,478 vol12 markets
Congress

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Above 58
9.41x
Above 62
9.41x
$182,437 vol8 markets
Congress

Who will switch or leave their party this year?

John Fetterman
John Fetterman
John Fetterman
8.56x
Lisa Murkowski
Lisa Murkowski
Lisa Murkowski
10.4x
$169,143 vol5 markets
Congress

Who will testify in front of Congress this year?

Mark Zuckerberg
Mark Zuckerberg
Mark Zuckerberg
2.19x
Shou Zi Chew
Shou Zi Chew
Shou Zi Chew
2.52x
$106,299 vol13 markets
Congress

Next DCCC chair?

Greg Stanton
10.4x
Sharice Davids
93.5x
$43,500 vol9 markets
Congress

When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
1.83x
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.89x
$15,230 vol3 markets
Congress

Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.09x
Before Aug 1, 2027
2.98x
$163,831 vol5 markets
Congress

Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?

Yes
2.81x
No
1.40x
$14,085 vol1 market
Congress

Will Congress override Trump’s veto?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.40x
Before 2027
15.6x
$107,058 vol2 markets
Congress

Will 3 mg THC beverages qualify as hemp under federal law?

On Mar 13, 2027
1.33x
On Nov 19, 2027
1.14x
$25,958 vol4 markets
Congress

How many government shutdowns this year?

2
1.42x
3
2.89x
$58,441 vol4 markets
Congress

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.01x
$1,183,256 vol1 market
Trump

Will a Democratic Senator call for Schumer to step down as leader?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.83x
Before Nov 3, 2026
5.56x
$28,161 vol2 markets
Congress

Which ICE reforms will become law this year?

Mask ban
11.7x
Mandatory body-worn cameras
31.2x
$56,325 vol6 markets
Congress

Will data center power-cost standards become law?

Yes
7.25x
No
1.13x
$11,147 vol1 market
Congress

When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.01x
$87,460 vol1 market