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Trending
Politics
Sports
Culture
Crypto
Climate
Economics
Mentions
Companies
Financials
Tech & Science
All markets
US Elections
Primaries
Trump
Foreign Elections
International
House
Congress
SCOTUS & courts
Local
Recurring
Congress
Trending
Frequency
How long will the government shutdown last?
At least 25 days
1.97
x
49
%
At least 30 days
2.46
x
40
%
$772,691 vol
15 markets
When will DHS be funded again?
Before Mar 10, 2026
1.55
x
62
%
Before Mar 1, 2026
2.98
x
32
%
$1,420,366 vol
5 markets
Who will attend the State of the Union?
Nick Shirley
1.73
x
53
%
Barron Trump
1.73
x
56
%
$956,354 vol
39 markets
When will DHS receive full-year funding?
Before Mar 20, 2026
1.73
x
54
%
Before Mar 10, 2026
2.46
x
40
%
$769,624 vol
4 markets
Will the SAVE Act become law?
Yes
5.25
x
18
%
No
1.19
x
82
%
$746,228 vol
1 market
When will Warsh’s Fed Chair nomination be received by the Senate?
Before March
1.65
x
59
%
Before March 13
1.18
x
84
%
$132,237 vol
4 markets
Will proof of citizenship be required for federal voter registration?
Before Jan 1, 2027
3.52
x
27
%
Before May 1, 2026
8.56
x
11
%
$128,810 vol
2 markets
Will Bill Clinton testify live?
Yes
11.7
x
8
%
No
1.07
x
92
%
$25,957 vol
1 market
Which bills will become law this year?
FISA Section 702 reauthorization
1.65
x
59
%
Critical-minerals stockpile
1.65
x
63
%
$42,239 vol
14 markets
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Before May 1, 2026
2.09
x
45
%
Before Jun 1, 2026
1.23
x
81
%
$353,219 vol
6 markets
Will crypto market structure legislation become law?
Before 2027
1.65
x
57
%
Before June
2.46
x
39
%
$231,443 vol
5 markets
Will a cabinet member be impeached?
Before 2028
1.97
x
49
%
Before Jan 20, 2029
1.36
x
72
%
$66,537 vol
4 markets
Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
Before 2027
5.90
x
14
%
Before April
18.8
x
4
%
$2,072,082 vol
3 markets
Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?
Yes
3.18
x
28
%
No
1.36
x
72
%
$114,243 vol
1 market
When will Nick Adams be confirmed as Ambassador of Malaysia?
Before Jan 1, 2027
3.08
x
30
%
Before Jul 1, 2026
6.74
x
14
%
$3,959 vol
3 markets
Who will be confirmed by the Senate before May?
Casey Means
2.01
x
43
%
Stevan Pearce
1.73
x
41
%
$12,341 vol
10 markets
How many Senators will vote for Kevin Warsh for Fed Chair?
60 or above
3.29
x
29
%
49 or below
8.56
x
11
%
$37,387 vol
12 markets
Which Senators will vote for the next Fed Chair nominee?
Maggie Hassan
1.93
x
50
%
John Hickenlooper
2.01
x
48
%
$30,662 vol
10 markets
Will Nancy Pelosi resign her office before the midterms?
Yes
5.25
x
17
%
No
1.19
x
83
%
$99,713 vol
1 market
Will AI regulation become law this year?
Yes
2.98
x
33
%
No
1.36
x
67
%
$23,160 vol
1 market
Will Congress override Trump's veto?
Before Jan 20, 2029
2.24
x
41
%
Before 2027
4.98
x
20
%
$60,867 vol
3 markets
Who will testify in front of Congress this year?
Shou Zi Chew
1.97
x
49
%
Sam Altman
2.19
x
44
%
$51,053 vol
14 markets
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?
Before Jan 21, 2029
2.14
x
44
%
Before 2027
6.29
x
15
%
$192,767 vol
2 markets
Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?
Before 2027
3.33
x
30
%
Before April 2026
16.7
x
5
%
$2,751,462 vol
2 markets