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Congress
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Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump

Will the Onion Futures Act be repealed?

Before 2030
3.18x
Before 2029
3.52x
$182,652 vol

Government shutdown on Dec 12, 2026?

Yes
2.59x
No
1.52x
$37,890 vol

Will the House vote on impeaching Pete Hegseth?

Before Nov 14, 2026
1.90x
Before Nov 21, 2026
1.26x
$10,543 vol

Will the Clarity Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
4.31x
Before Jul 1, 2027
5.25x
$10,248,579 vol

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
4.51x
Before Jul 1, 2027
11.7x
$4,233,898 vol

Will Pete Hegseth be impeached?

Before Apr 1, 2027
1.90x
Before Jul 1, 2027
1.48x
$7,737 vol

Who will switch or leave their party this year?

Lisa Murkowski
Lisa Murkowski
5.90x
John Fetterman
John Fetterman
7.25x
$176,274 vol

Which bills will become law this year?

Export-control chip security
2.59x
Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
3.52x
$863,212 vol

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes
31.2x
No
1.03x
$14,855,306 vol

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Above 64
13.4x
Above 55
15.6x
$190,739 vol

When will a farm bill become law?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.76x
Before Apr 1, 2027
2.81x
$19,056 vol

Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Ilhan Omar?

Before Jul 1, 2027
2.59x
Before Dec 1, 2026
5.90x
$519 vol

When will the U.S. authorize a government AI kill switch?

Before Jan 1, 2028
3.18x
Before Jul 1, 2027
5.25x
$1,061 vol

When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?

Before Apr 1, 2027
2.46x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.52x
$80,679 vol

Will Trump create a $250 bill featuring himself?

Yes
46.8x
No
1.02x
$1,247,926 vol

Will Republicans lose the House majority before the midterms?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.05x
$59,308 vol

Who will Obama endorse before the midterms?

Mary Peltola
Mary Peltola
4.13x
Karen Bass
Karen Bass
7.85x
$12,679 vol

Will a federal film or TV production tax credit become law?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.60x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.66x
$14,327 vol

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

Before Jan 1, 2027
3.29x
Before Dec 1, 2026
46.8x
$47,731 vol

When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?

Before Dec 1, 2026
2.52x
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.05x
$8,352 vol

When will independent AI safety audits become U.S. law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.05x
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.98x
$5,205 vol

Will Ilhan Omar cast a recorded House vote before December?

Yes
1.36x
No
2.98x
$2,662 vol

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes
93.5x
No
1.01x
$4,055,949 vol

When will the FY2027 NDAA become law?

Before Dec 25, 2026
1.34x
Before Dec 15, 2026
3.40x
$9,648 vol