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TrendingElections

Politics

SportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science

Congress

All markets
Congress
International
Iran
Local
NYC
Recurring
SCOTUS & courts
Trump
Congress

Will crypto market structure legislation become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.19x
Before Oct 1, 2027
2.34x
$6,050,902 vol9 markets
Congress

When will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act?

Before Oct 1, 2026
1.09x
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.03x
$1,204,874 vol3 markets
Congress

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2027
9.41x
Before Dec 1, 2026
10.4x
$3,746,768 vol5 markets
Politics

Will Mitch McConnell resign his office before the midterms?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.08x
$1,857,958 vol1 market
Congress

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.05x
$11,154,775 vol1 market
Congress

Will Max Miller leave the House before the midterms?

Yes
4.31x
No
1.23x
$106,914 vol1 market
Congress

How many reconciliation bills will be passed this year?

1
1.34x
2
3.80x
$153,904 vol2 markets
Congress

Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?

Yes
4.73x
No
1.22x
$150,499 vol1 market
Congress

Who will switch or leave their party this year?

Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene
Marjorie Taylor Greene
2.73x
Lisa Murkowski
Lisa Murkowski
Lisa Murkowski
4.98x
$137,103 vol6 markets
Congress

Which bills will become law this year?

College sports federalization
2.73x
Export-control chip security
3.29x
$756,346 vol30 markets
Politics

119th Congress legislative combo

Legislating combo
5.25x
Dysfunction combo
93.5x
$25,143 vol2 markets
Congress

Will the cap on gambling loss reduction be repealed?

Before 2027
5.88x
Before Sep 1, 2026
33.3x
$3,056,070 vol2 markets
Congress

Who will testify in front of Congress this year?

Sam Altman
Sam Altman
Sam Altman
1.86x
Shou Zi Chew
Shou Zi Chew
Shou Zi Chew
2.19x
$100,728 vol13 markets
Congress

When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.29x
Before Apr 1, 2027
1.19x
$74,818 vol3 markets
Congress

When will government-wide funding become law?

Before Sep 26, 2026
1.97x
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.19x
$5,115 vol7 markets
Congress

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Before Oct 1, 2026
1.97x
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.34x
$739,612 vol4 markets
Congress

Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?

Before Nov 1, 2026
1.73x
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.55x
$46,290 vol3 markets
Congress

Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?

Susan Collins
1.76x
Lisa Murkowski
2.73x
$33,268 vol8 markets
Congress

Will Congress keep 5mg hemp THC beverages federally legal?

Before Jul 1, 2027
1.65x
Before Nov 13, 2026
1.62x
$7,434 vol2 markets
Congress

When will the Senate vote on the SAVE America Act?

Before Nov 3, 2026
2.81x
Before Oct 1, 2026
3.66x
$82,617 vol2 markets
Congress

Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

Yes
5.25x
No
1.18x
$282,493 vol1 market
Congress

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Above 50
2.46x
Above 55
2.66x
$24,705 vol8 markets
Politics

How many government shutdowns this year?

2
1.46x
3
4.13x
$49,834 vol4 markets
Congress

When will the Senate pass a budget resolution?

Before Jan 1, 2027
2.19x
Before Oct 1, 2026
3.40x
$11,385 vol3 markets