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Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

Will the filibuster be weakened?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.19x
Before Jul 1, 2029
1.57x
$231,356 vol

Will the filibuster be abolished?

Before Jan 1, 2030
3.29x
Before Jan 1, 2029
5.25x
$578 vol

Will Congress override Trump’s veto?

Before Jan 20, 2029
1.76x
Before Jan 1, 2028
1.31x
$109,375 vol

Will the blue slip process be removed?

Before Jan 1, 2029
4.31x
Before Jan 1, 2028
2.81x
$6,401 vol

Will the Senate pass legislation using a talking filibuster?

Before Jan 1, 2030
2.73x
Before Jan 1, 2029
3.40x
$506 vol

When will Trump first veto a 120th Congress bill?

Before Mar 1, 2027
2.09x
Before Apr 1, 2027
1.57x
$145 vol

Will the Senate lower the cloture threshold for all legislation?

Before Jan 1, 2030
2.98x
Before Jan 1, 2029
7.25x
$0 vol