Skip to main content
Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElections

Politics

SportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive99AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE99

Confirmations

Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQPrediction marketsFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
All markets
Trump
International
Congress
Other legislation
Tax & economy bills
Leadership & committees
Budget & shutdowns
Members
Health & social bills
Confirmations
Filibuster & vetoes
Departures
Media & press
Economy
Impeachment
SCOTUS & courts
Local
Immigration
Recurring
AI

Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?

Before Jan 1, 2027
2.01x
Before Apr 1, 2027
1.67x
$29,147 vol

How many nominees will the Senate confirm in the lame duck?

At least 75
1.60x
At least 100
4.13x
$59,590 vol

When will Wesley Hunt be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Saudi Arabia?

Before Mar 1, 2027
1.40x
Before Jun 1, 2027
1.28x
$8,190 vol

When will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?

Before Dec 1, 2026
2.29x
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.05x
$9,017 vol

Which Senators will vote for Heidi Overton?

Thom Tillis
Thom Tillis
2.14x
Mitch McConnell
Mitch McConnell
2.66x
$4,020 vol

Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake?

Rand Paul
Rand Paul
1.34x
Susan Collins
Susan Collins
2.01x
$38,512 vol

Will Trump make a recess appointment?

Before Jan 21, 2029
4.98x
Before Jan 1, 2028
6.29x
$60 vol

Will the Senate confirm James Sullivan as a federal judge?

Yes
1.10x
No
5.25x
$1,469 vol

When will Hung Cao be confirmed as Secretary of the Navy?

Before Mar 1, 2027
5.25x
Before Dec 19, 2026
7.85x
$6,408 vol

When will James McDonald be confirmed as SDNY U.S. attorney?

Yes
9.41x
No
1.02x
$22,787 vol

When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?

Before Apr 1, 2027
4.31x
Before Jan 1, 2027
4.73x
$83,989 vol

When will Kimberly Greenwood be confirmed as U.S. Ambassador to Barbados?

Before Mar 1, 2027
1.38x
Before Jun 1, 2027
1.20x
$11,887 vol

Will the FEC regain a quorum this year?

Yes
2.05x
No
1.57x
$0 vol