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AI

Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

Which bills will become law this year?

AI-chip export licensing
2.09x
Export-control chip security
1.62x
$902,655 vol

Will the House pass a D.C. statehood bill?

Before Jul 1, 2027
2.05x
Before Jan 1, 2028
1.25x
$18,810 vol

Will Daylight Saving Time become permanent?

Before Jan 20, 2029
2.46x
Before Jan 1, 2028
4.13x
$150,255 vol

Will the House pass a Puerto Rico statehood or status bill?

Yes
2.24x
No
1.67x
$17,958 vol

Will the SAVE Act become law?

Yes
93.5x
No
1.01x
$16,115,486 vol

When will FISA be reauthorized again?

Before Apr 1, 2027
2.29x
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.46x
$792,805 vol

How many House votes for Epstein Files Transparency Act II?

400-435
2.52x
Below 220
8.56x
$1,669 vol

When will the House vote on the Protect College Sports Act?

Before Jan 1, 2027
3.29x
Before Dec 15, 2026
4.98x
$1,606 vol

Will the Senate pass the Epstein Files Transparency Act II?

Yes
3.52x
No
1.22x
$200 vol

Will the Cybersecurity Information Sharing Act of 2015 be extended?

Yes
1.46x
No
2.34x
$1,755 vol

Will the House pass the Epstein Files Transparency Act II?

Yes
1.02x
No
9.41x
$1,129 vol

Will a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?

Yes
11.7x
No
1.03x
$2,388 vol

Will the SAVE America Act become law?

Before Jan 1, 2028
10.4x
Before Jul 1, 2027
18.8x
$4,333,791 vol

Will the Department of Defense be renamed the Department of War by law?

Before Jan 1, 2027
9.41x
Before Apr 1, 2027
7.85x
$42,681 vol

Will a congressional term-limits amendment be ratified?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.02x
$8,743 vol

US bans social media for children this year?

Yes
13.4x
No
1.02x
$19,001 vol

Will the Supreme Court have more than 9 seats before 2030?

Yes
3.66x
No
1.23x
$478 vol

Will the House pass a bill expanding the Supreme Court?

Yes
5.56x
No
1.07x
$1,202 vol

Will the 2027 House rules package allow proxy voting?

Yes
1.19x
No
3.80x
$0 vol

When will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate?

Before Jan 1, 2027
10.4x
Before Nov 21, 2026
18.8x
$26,691 vol

How many House votes for the Protect College Sports Act?

Below 200
1.26x
200-219
13.4x
$1,594 vol

Will the House amend the Protect College Sports Act?

Yes
3.80x
No
1.18x
$2,418 vol

119th Congress legislative combo

Yes
31.2x
No
1.01x
$39,195 vol

Will the Kids Online Safety Act become law?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.04x
$7,829 vol