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Other legislation

Tax & economy bills

Leadership & committees

Budget & shutdowns

Health & social bills

Filibuster & vetoes

SCOTUS & courts

Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

Will the ACA premium tax credits be extended?

Before 2028

2.81x

Before 2027

46.8x

$2,317,451 vol

Which ICE reforms will become law this year?

Mandatory body-worn cameras

8.56x

Mask ban

23.4x

$59,042 vol

Will the US have universal health care?

Before Jan 1, 2030

7.85x

Before Jan 1, 2029

13.4x

$400 vol

Will the House pass a Medicaid work requirements repeal?

Yes

1.18x

No

4.31x

$3,513 vol

Will undocumented immigrants be granted legal status?

Yes

5.25x

No

1.19x

$858 vol

Will the House pass a bill lowering the Medicare age?

Yes

2.01x

No

1.70x

$217 vol

Will Obamacare be repealed?

Yes

4.13x

No

1.25x

$10,154 vol

Will the House pass a cap on federal student loan interest rates?

Before Dec 12, 2026

13.4x

Before Jan 3, 2027

9.41x

$0 vol

Will the House pass a Social Security tax cap increase?

Yes

3.80x

No

1.29x

$0 vol

Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?

Yes

4.73x

No

1.14x

$2,184 vol

Will SNAP benefit restrictions become law?

Yes

31.2x

No

--

$56,448 vol

Will the House pass a bill to codify Roe v. Wade?

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.48x

Before Jan 1, 2028

1.23x

$5,814 vol

Will the House pass a public health insurance option bill?

Yes

2.52x

No

1.40x

$911 vol

Will the House pass a bill raising the federal minimum wage?

Yes

1.15x

No

3.96x

$440 vol

Will the federal minimum wage be raised?

Before 2028

2.01x

Before 2029

1.09x

$5,183 vol

Will the House pass a Medicare for All bill?

Yes

3.18x

No

1.31x

$1,233 vol

Will Medicaid work requirements be delayed by law this year?

Yes

9.41x

No

1.04x

$0 vol

Will E-Verify become mandatory nationwide?

Yes

18.8x

No

1.04x

$0 vol

Will Dreamers be granted legal status?

Yes

4.73x

No

1.22x

$1,981 vol

Will the House pass a Dreamer bill?

Yes

1.62x

No

2.24x

$200 vol

Will the Afghan TPS discharge petition reach 218 signatures?

Yes

2.46x

No

1.40x

$0 vol

Will the House pass a bill to restore ACA subsidies?

Yes

1.04x

No

11.7x

$4,168 vol

Will a bill that directly funds HSAs/FSAs become law?

Yes

18.8x

No

--

$9,847 vol