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Politics odds and guides

Government shutdown odds

Will Jensen Huang testify in front of Congress?

LIVE
Before Dec 2026
6.74x
Before Jan 2027
1.08x
$526,849 vol

Which senators will back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

Jon Ossoff
Jon Ossoff
1.67x
Chris Pappas
Chris Pappas
1.65x
$18,444 vol

Which senators will back Van Hollen for Senate Democratic leader?

Adam Hamilton
Adam Hamilton
1.65x
Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth Warren
2.40x
$4,578 vol

Who will be Chair of Senate Environment and Public Works?

Jeff Merkley
Jeff Merkley
1.04x
Sheldon Whitehouse
Sheldon Whitehouse
15.6x
$2,670 vol

Will Scott Colom back Schumer for Senate Democratic leader?

Yes
3.52x
No
1.33x
$3,494 vol

Who will a House committee vote to subpoena before 2028?

Pam Bondi
Pam Bondi
1.76x
Jensen Huang
Jensen Huang
1.70x
$11,241 vol

Who will be Ranking Member of House Judiciary?

Laurel Lee
Laurel Lee
2.14x
Scott Fitzgerald
Scott Fitzgerald
2.19x
$400 vol

Next DCCC chair?

Steven Horsford
Steven Horsford
2.24x
Brad Schneider
Brad Schneider
3.08x
$44,213 vol

Will the House create an AI select committee?

Yes
2.66x
No
1.36x
$250 vol

Who will be Chair of Senate Commerce?

Maria Cantwell
Maria Cantwell
1.01x
Brian Schatz
Brian Schatz
93.5x
$9,809 vol

Will Haley Stevens lose a committee assignment or her ranking post?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.10x
$13,353 vol

Who will be Ranking Member of Senate Appropriations?

Lisa Murkowski
Lisa Murkowski
1.18x
Jerry Moran
Jerry Moran
6.74x
$975 vol

Who will be Ranking Member of Senate Judiciary?

Mike Lee
Mike Lee
1.13x
Josh Hawley
Josh Hawley
9.41x
$116 vol

Who will testify in front of Congress this year?

Howard Lutnick
Howard Lutnick
1.23x
Sam Altman
Sam Altman
5.25x
$113,090 vol

Who will be Ranking Member of House Armed Services?

Trent Kelly
Trent Kelly
2.09x
Ronny Jackson
Ronny Jackson
2.59x
$158 vol

Who will be Chair of House Financial Services?

Maxine Waters
Maxine Waters
1.13x
Sean Casten
Sean Casten
6.29x
$10,553 vol

Who will be Chair of Senate Banking?

Elizabeth Warren
Elizabeth Warren
1.01x
Sherrod Brown
Sherrod Brown
31.2x
$19,007 vol

Will Haley Stevens leave the House Democratic Caucus?

Yes
15.6x
No
1.05x
$2,238 vol

Which Senate committees will James Talarico be assigned to?

HELP
1.79x
Armed Services
2.29x
$200 vol

Who will be Ranking Member of Senate HELP Committee?

Rand Paul
Rand Paul
1.02x
Lisa Murkowski
Lisa Murkowski
46.8x
$20,515 vol

Elizabeth MacDonough departure announced?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.01x
$8,261 vol

Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation this year?

Yes
46.8x
No
1.01x
$4,617 vol

Who will be Ranking Member of House Oversight Committee?

Pat Fallon
Pat Fallon
2.66x
Brandon Gill
Brandon Gill
3.18x
$2,289 vol

Who will be the next Senate Judiciary chair?

Sheldon Whitehouse
Sheldon Whitehouse
1.05x
Mike Lee
Mike Lee
18.8x
$6,950 vol