Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
Will Social Security’s retirement trust fund be depleted?
$1 vol
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
If the OASI Trust Fund reserves are depleted such that full scheduled Social Security retirement and survivors benefits are no longer payable under then-current law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2033, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The Washington Post, Fox News, The Wall Street Journal, The Guardian, ABC, Bloomberg News, CBS, South China Morning Post, NBC, the Associated Press, The Verge, BBC, Axios, CNN, ABC News Australia, The Information, Semafor, MSNBC, CBC, Reuters, Politico, and The New York Times.
Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 9, 2026 · 1:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE
EventKXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33
MarketKXSOCIALSECURITYDEPLETE-33-33JAN01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.