When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica? Odds & Predictions 2026
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
When will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
Chance
Before Sep 1, 2026
10%
Before Sep 1, 2026
10%
Before Jan 1, 2027
32%
Before Jan 1, 2027
32%
Before Apr 1, 2027
38%
Before Apr 1, 2027
38%
Market Rules
Before Sep 1, 2026
If Kari Lake is the first person confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from U.S. Senate.
If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 12, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs Otherwise, it closes by Aug 31, 2026 at 11:59pm EDT.
SeriesKXLAKECONF
EventKXLAKECONF-26MAY12
MarketKXLAKECONF-26MAY12-SEP01
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