Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks? Odds & Predictions 2025
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?
Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?
Chance
Before 2027
6.6%
▼ 0.1
Before 2027
6.6%
▼ 0.1
Before Jan 21, 2029
37%
▼ 1
Before Jan 21, 2029
37%
▼ 1
Before 2026
No
Before 2026
No
Market Rules
Before 2027
Resolves Yes ifa Congressional stock trading ban becomes law between Issuance and December 31, 2026.Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
A Congressional stock trading ban can still allow members of Congress to place their stocks in a blind trust or to invest in "diversified assets" (e.g. ETFs) and still resolve to Yes. Please refer to the full rules for examples.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 3, 2025 · 6:00pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout3 hours after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2026 at 11:59pm EST.
SeriesKXTRDBAN
EventKXTRDBAN-25DEC31
MarketKXTRDBAN-25DEC31-27
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.