Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran?
Chance
Before September 2026
5%
â–² 2
Before September 2026
5%
â–² 2
Before 2027
7.8%
Before 2027
7.8%
Market Rules
Before September 2026
If the United States has announced the opening of an embassy or consulate of the United States of America in Iran after Issuance and before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times.
The embassy/consulate must be opened or have a specific date on which it will be opened to be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. It also includes an embassy being re-opened after suspending operations.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 11, 2026 · 12:30pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXIRANEMBASSY
EventKXIRANEMBASSY-27
MarketKXIRANEMBASSY-27-26SEP
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.