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Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
Financials
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?
Financials
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?
Order book
Order book
Market Rules
Reza Pahlavi
Resolves Yes if
Reza Pahlavi is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as the head of state or government of Iran before Jan 1, 2027
.
Outcome verified from
Iran
,
the New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Bloomberg News
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
The Athletic
,
ESPN
,
TechCrunch
,
Wired
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
, and
NBC
.
View full rules
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Jan 10, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00am EST.
Series
KXPAHLAVIHEAD
Event
KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN
Market
KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Reza Pahlavi
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
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$1,743,425 vol