Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran this year?

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$1,594,067 vol

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Market Rules

If Reza Pahlavi is appointed, elected, named, designated, or succeeded to the position as the head of state or government of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from Iran, the New York Times, the Associated Press, Bloomberg News, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, The Athletic, ESPN, TechCrunch, Wired, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, and NBC.

Timeline and payout

Market openJan 10, 2026 · 10:00am EST

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2027 at 10:00am EST.

SeriesKXPAHLAVIHEAD

EventKXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN

MarketKXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.