Will the US acquire any new territory?
Will the US acquire any new territory?
Chance
Before Jan 2027
7.3%
▼ 1.1
Before Jan 2027
7.3%
▼ 1.1
Before Jan 2028
21%
▼ 1
Before Jan 2028
21%
▼ 1
Before Jan 21, 2029
34%
▲ 2
Before Jan 21, 2029
34%
▲ 2
2 more
Market Rules
Before Jul 2026
If the United States gains control of any territory outside its sovereignty as of Issuance before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times.
An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls the territory that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The territory must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 7, 2026 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY
EventKXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY
MarketKXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY-26JUL01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.