Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?
Will the US government rescind the Anthropic ban?
Chance
Before Jul 1, 2026
9%
Before Jul 1, 2026
9%
Before Aug 1, 2026
43%
Before Aug 1, 2026
43%
Before Jan 1, 2027
72%
Before Jan 1, 2027
72%
Market Rules
Before Jul 1, 2026
Resolves Yes if the Department of Defense or the White House announces an official action rescinding, waiving, or materially modifying the supply-chain-risk designation or phaseout directive applicable to Anthropic, so as to permit federal government or Department of Defense use of Anthropic's AI models or services before Jul 1, 2026.Outcome verified from White House and Department of Defense.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 1, 2026 · 5:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXANTHROPICRESCIND
EventKXANTHROPICRESCIND-26JUN
MarketKXANTHROPICRESCIND-26JUN-26JUL01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.