Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive95AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE95
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. Trump

Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?

2
Chance
Before Jan 1, 2027
13%

Before Jan 1, 2027

13%
Before Apr 1, 2027
31%

Before Apr 1, 2027

31%
Before Jul 1, 2027
45%

Before Jul 1, 2027

45%
Before Jan 1, 2028
56%

Before Jan 1, 2028

56%
Will Claude be permitted for use in the Department of War supply chain?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Odds
18% chance
Max payout
Dec 31, 2026
$0
$6,121 vol